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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (8885)	7/20/1999 10:23:00 PM
From: Dayuhan	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9980

I don't really think this is a case of threatening behaviour from Beijing. Lee undoubtedly knew what response his comment would elicit from Beijing, which means he wanted to elicit that response. Any other response would mean Beijing kowtowing to Taipei, which is hardly to be expected. It was not Beijing that rocked the boat.

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (8885)	7/21/1999 11:18:00 AM
From: Z268	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9980

Ron, "More of what I had in mind was a UN reinforcement of Taiwan, threatening to overrule the Chinese and Russian vetoes in the security council, if necessary." This would be seen as the ultimate provocative act by the hardliners in China. It would raise the "public" stakes, and may force the Chinese into some irrational face-saving action. The best course of action is to privately convey to the Chinese leadership that force is NOT an option. IMHO, the sabre-rattling is going to get a lot worse before it gets better. This whole episode may have the effect of the two sides engaging in serious talks next time they sit down. I would be much more worried if the response from China was a deafening silence. Regards, Steve Yeo