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Non-Tech : CAOL: The Chinese AOL and Internet Lottery -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dave Gore who wrote (600)	7/21/1999 11:20:00 PM
From: architect*	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 720

Dave, since CAOL has released news with forward looking statements projecting 200 kiosks for the first year of production, with $1.75- $2.25 million in EBITDA. I was taking liberties and looking forward a step or two further, trying to speculate how many kiosks CAOL may operate in three years from now, if this venture proves successful. For fun, lets speculate an additional 200 kiosks are added every six months in year two and three, that's now 1,000 kiosks, assume the same growth rate in revenues from the lottery revenues projected by CAOL during the first year, also assume the profit margins stay the same as more kiosks are added, the ISP and E:Mail business lines of CAOL add no NET INCOME to CAOL, all goes well according to the CAOL business plan and the population in China says the same....... 200 kiosks, generates about $2 million net income / 9.1 million shares O/S or 21 cents per share/year net income (EBITDA) 1000 kiosks may generate net income/year (EBITDA) in excess of the current share price, just my speculation, John