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Technology Stocks : 3DFX -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael G. Potter who wrote (13792)7/22/1999 12:32:00 PM
From: Obewon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 16960
 
The Street doesn't care about the merger charges as much as it does for what margins and operational cashflow is going to be.

I also think that more important than high profitability (at first) is earnings consistency. THAT is why ATI is valued so highly and why Nvidia has a much larger market cap (OEM sales are more consistent).

To address the recent easing down of TDFX's share price, I can only say that it is a consistent pattern in TDFX's share price that starting with earnings the price falls for the next two months before rising the month prior to earnings. I have started accumulating more in anticipation of very good earnings this quarter.

One small point on the 3dfx rebate program. The 10-20% rebate return rate that has been mentioned is for products with the rebate clearly advertised on the product (usually via a sticker coupon). Thus, every product sold has a good chance of the consumer seeing (and responding) to the coupon. 3dfx has chosen the stealth mode of making the coupon available on the Internet. Probably 90% of all consumers who buy the product is not going to realize it's there. My personal estimate is that the company will only see a response rate of approximately 1-2%.

Obewon