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To: goldsnow who wrote (37554)	7/22/1999 3:29:00 PM
From: Ahda	Respond to of 116795

Blessed be those that stick to the topic have a wonderful day Goldsnow .

To: goldsnow who wrote (37554)	7/22/1999 6:07:00 PM
From: John Mansfield	Respond to of 116795

US Navy War College Y2k international security dimension project - some predictions for the POG till summer 2000: geocities.com

To: goldsnow who wrote (37554)	7/22/1999 6:12:00 PM
From: John Mansfield	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 116795

'....Huge gain in oil prices forces rise in inflation and massive selloff of equities Considering the countries most likely to suffer significant technological, social and political problems, this scenario is more probable than most here think. US can offset some or all of the price increase at home by the sale of Strategic Petroleum Reserves oil. Since this scenario will probably be a short-term position, longer-term positions in equities will remain intact. This will be viewed more as a portfolio adjustment than a permanent position. A big increase in oil prices will induce OPEC producers to cheat on quotas which will then drive prices back down--history repeats itself. Duration of oil price increase will be chief determinant in selloff of equity markets. Sharp selloff simply means buying opportunity to many. ' ... geocities.com