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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Annette who wrote (26574)7/23/1999 9:09:00 AM
From: Ed Forrest  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41369
 


Here is one view as to why the stocks are a tumbl'n...

SUMMER EARNINGS SEASON REVISITED: SO WHY AREN'T THESE STOCKS GOING UP?
By Chirag N. Amin, M.D.

Despite stellar summer earnings in several of the big-name companies in the
technology and Internet sectors so far, Internet companies have recently
been taking it on the chin, sustaining declining stock prices, even in the
face of good earnings news. Yahoo kicked off the summer earnings season by
handily beating Wall Street expectations by 3 cents per share, followed by
other large Internet companies, such as AOL, RealNetworks, and E*Trade, all
reporting earnings that exceeded Wall Street estimates. Amazon.com not
only met Wall Street earnings expectations, but also announced a 2:1 stock
split. This type of news would have normally sent the stock soaring to new
highs, but this has not occurred.

So why have these Internet stocks not been running up? According to the
"experts" on Wall Street, they state that this has been due to the sizeable
pre-earnings run-ups that these stocks have already experienced, with many
people using the typical "buy on rumor, sell on news" mentality. Other are
postulating theories such as Y2K concerns, and continuing jitters about
signs of inflation and rising interest rates. Needless to say,
expectations have gotten to be extremely high in the Internet sector, as
evident by the high whisper numbers that we have seen on various Internet
stocks. As a result, Internet companies that voice even a slight hint of
slowing revenue growth have been getting punished severely in terms of
their stock price.

Furthermore, the number of daytraders and other investors holding these
stocks on a short-term basis for a "quick profit" have also increased,
contributing to the extremely volatile nature of Internet stocks.

So, are the days of big profits in Internet stocks over? I don't think so.
Market sentiment weighs heavily on all sectors of the market, especially
the Internet. And although market sentiment shows some vulnerability at
this time, which is, in my opinion, why Internet stocks are not going up,
this sentiment has been known to change rapidly. Watch closely what
Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan says regarding the current market
conditions in his Humphrey-Hawkins testimony to Congress. After all, it
was his decision of a modest 0.25% rate hike, as well as adopting a neutral
bias on interest rates, which allowed the NASDAQ, DOW, and S&P 500 to hit
records highs.



To: Annette who wrote (26574)7/23/1999 9:21:00 AM
From: Boplicity  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41369
 
SUNW is shinning this AM, should help AOL and the rest of the high tech market. Every where I go on the NET most everyone is negative, I find this to be good.

Greg