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To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (69301)7/24/1999 12:19:00 AM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
>>I also acted on it by buying.

That's the best part! Good execution.



To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (69301)7/24/1999 8:29:00 PM
From: GST  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Yen Seen Extending Gains Against Dollar as Japanese Stocks Attract Buyers
By Mark Tannenbaum

Yen Seen Gaining vs Dollar as Japanese Stocks Attract Buyers
(Repeats story from July 23, adds comment in 12th
paragraph.)

New York, July 24 (Bloomberg) -- The yen, which rose almost
4 percent this week against the dollar, will likely extend its
gains in coming days as international investors buy the currency
to purchase Japanese stocks.
''It's pretty apparent that the flows are more biased
toward accumulating yen'' by foreign investors, as well as by
Japanese investors bringing home profits, said Bob Lynch, a
currency strategist at Paribas Corp. The yen will probably rise
''unless the Bank of Japan takes on a more active role''
selling.

The yen rose to 116.51 per dollar from 116.86 Thursday in
New York. The Japanese currency strengthened to 116.15 earlier,
its highest level since Feb. 16. The dollar was little changed
at $1.0501 per euro from $1.0508. On the week, the euro gained 3
percent.

The yen could gain to 115 per dollar next week, even if the
Bank of Japan intervenes, said Clark McGinn, head of foreign
exchange sales at Royal Bank of Scotland.
''The sheer volume of buying by foreign investors in the
equity market means there's a bunch of yen buyers out there,''
said Peter Lucas, who helps oversee 600 million pounds ($950
million) as global investment strategist at Ashburton (Jersey)
Limited, in Britain's Channel Islands.

Net Buyers

Foreigners were net buyers of Japanese stocks last week for
the 25th time in 26 weeks, purchasing about $4 billion more than
they sold, according to figures from the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

That overseas appetite has propelled the yen higher in
recent weeks to the chagrin of Japanese officials who are
concerned that a stronger yen could dampen exports and stifle an
economic rebound.

Japan grew at a faster-than-expected 1.9 percent clip in
the January-March quarter, a rate government officials say is
unsustainable. That broke a string of five straight quarters of
contraction.

The BOJ has sold yen seven times since June 10 in an
attempt to keep the currency from appreciating too much. With
each successive intervention, however, traders have become more
skeptical that the currency would hold its gains.

The ''big stick'' of intervention wielded by the Bank of
Japan ''is turning out to be a toothpick,'' said McGinn. Even if
the BOJ intervenes next week, ''people might try to give them a
run for their money'' and continue to bid the yen higher.

Japanese finance officials also hinted that foreign
exchange intervention may not be succeeding.
''There has been a trend in the yen's rise, and it's not a
good idea to confront the forex market head on, and there are a
variety of techniques needed,'' said Finance Minister Kiichi
Miyazawa. Still, ''our basic stance is we won't leave any wild
swings as they are.''

Euro 'Should Appreciate''

The euro as well may gain against the dollar next week on
growing optimism the 11-nation region's largest economies are
reviving.
''The underlying trend is still positive'' for the euro,
said Ian Morris, an international economist at HSBC Markets in
London. ''It is still undervalued and should appreciate in the
coming months.''

The currency got a boost after a survey by the Ifo economic
research institute Tuesday showed German business optimism rose
in June. Reports Friday showed consumer prices accelerated in
four Western German states in July, boosted by higher energy
prices. Accelerating inflation could help the euro by fueling
speculation the European Central Bank will raise interest rates.

Still, some traders weren't impressed with the euro's
recent turnaround.
''I don't see there's any inherently sustainable positive
news this week compared to last week,'' said Royal Bank of
Scotland's McGinn.

Interest rate differentials also still point in the favor
of the U.S., and will support the dollar in the medium-term by
drawing capital to U.S. financial assets, said Diego Giurleo,
manager of foreign exchange sales at Royal Bank of Canada.

Three-month dollar Libor yields 5.21 percentage points more
than similar maturity yen Libor, 17 basis points more than the
average for the last three months. And dollar Libor offers 2.63
percentage points more than euribor, 10 basis points more than
the three-month average.

Given those differentials, ''the dollar doesn't look bad at
all,'' said Giurleo.

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