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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Marshall001 who wrote (69498)7/25/1999 8:40:00 PM
From: Eric Wells  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
>>The first thing I learned was not to get
>>emotional about the company.

Good point - and I agree with your earlier comment about not holding your short over the weekend (I should have covered mine on Friday - and I'm well aware there is a chance I will take a loss on the position tomorrow).

I find the activity of AMZN stock as well as this discussion thread interesting because I see Amazon as being at the center of what one might call the "Internet stock over-valuation controversy". The fact that AMZN stock should remain buoyant, and even increase in value while the company faces mounting losses is suggestive of one of two things:

1. Investors are so convinced of the future success of Amazon that they see no need to evaluate the company using established metrics used in evaluating other retail companies - at least not for the time being - and they assume that the future revenues and profits are bound to develop, taking little account of the risk.

<<or>>

2. AMZN stock has come to represent something other than the value of Amazon as a company - it could be suggested that the stock is being used as a sort of vehicle for "gambling", where little tangible data is available to justify the price - when investors buy or short the stock, they are in essence making bets on the direction the stock will move (and not on Amazon's projected revenues/profits).

I would like to believe in reason 1 above, as it suggests that markets still work - however, with the stratospherically high market valuations that some internet companies enjoy, I'm inclined to think that reason number 2 holds more truth.

Thanks,
-Eric



To: Marshall001 who wrote (69498)7/25/1999 10:11:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
I see a lot of
emotion here on both sides. Why? We all know its rediculously overvalued.


I do not believe we all know this. I post due to the fact I enjoy it. I dislike golf.

Glenn