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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (7170)7/25/1999 9:19:00 PM
From: lifeisgood  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 15132
 
Justa,

Why do you keep implying that I'm bashing Brinker?

Here is my prediction. Bob will not call a sell signal until after the market has declined at least 15%, if at all (let's go with the S&P). You keep claiming Bob's model is designed to predict bear markets and issue a sell signal to avoid being invested in one.

I keep saying Bob will never issue a sell signal until after the market has already declined.

This is now an empirical issue. I think we both agree that it is only a matter of time before we experience another bear market. If, based on his timing model, Bob predicts one before it occurs (and issues a sell signal), I will have been proven wrong. If he issues a sell signal after it occurs (or never) I will have been proven correct.

best...

LIG