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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: scotty who wrote (21100)7/26/1999 1:56:00 AM
From: investsformoney  Respond to of 99985
 
LG and other regulars i am posting my outlook. Is there a slot available on your webpages where i can post my commentary. Currently i am posting this from my notes and hence this does not have any links that i used for research. If i can get a slot on your webpage i can post the links along with my fundamental analysis

Weekly Outlook. I will be updating this daily as required.

Major headlines were screaming on Friday how the analysts were taken
by surprise over what Greenspan did in the Hawkins testimony. Some said
he is nuts, some said he should retire. So the eod rally on friday
was basically analysts defiance to Greenspan positive bias.

Here is the scenario

Humphrey Hawkins : July 22.
FOMC meeting : Aug 24
No of trading days left 21.

The low should come by the end of next friday. If the market feels
that the rate hike is discounted we should have a positive bias.

Till then the bias should be negative. This means any sign of strength
during this time by weak stocks should be a shorting opportunity.

The fall will be led by the most speculative sector Internet. The scpeculative
excess will be wiped away and since this speculative wiping process
has a natural tendency to overreact we should get good values.
Following along the same lines the same analysts will stop screaming
and settle down bending to the will of the Gman. The market must simply
discount another rate hike before it can move forward.

For this week the key days are
1. Thursday gdp at 8:30 est and employment numbers follow.

Greespan will speak again on part 2 of humphrey hawkins on Wednesday