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Technology Stocks : MRV Communications (MRVC) opinions? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Greg h2o who wrote (14672)7/27/1999 10:54:00 AM
From: signist  Respond to of 42804
 
July 27, 1999 10:30

Gruntal Cuts Estimates, Lifts Target On MRV
Communications (MRVC)

(NewsTraders.com)-- Gruntal Co. today made some adjustments to its outlook
for "buy" rated MRV Communications (MRVC), including lowering earnings
per-share forecasts and raising its price target.

The brokerage cut 1999 and 2000 EPS estimates to $0.02 and $0.23 from
$0.12 and $0.51, respectively.

Gruntal raised MRV's price target to $21 from $14, representing a 50%
increase.

MRV reported second quarter earnings yesterday after market close.

No further information was readily available.

Shares of the Chatsworth, Calif.-based maker of high-speed network switching
and fiber optic transmission systems recently traded at $15.00, up $0.63.

Copyright 1999 NewsTraders Inc. All Rights Reserved 10:38 Tuesday, July 27,
1999



To: Greg h2o who wrote (14672)7/27/1999 11:00:00 AM
From: Sector Investor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42804
 
MRV COMMUNICATIONS, INC.* (MRVC)-MAINTAIN BUY; IN-LINE
QUARTER WITH RETURN TO PROFITABILITY;
Price: $14.38 52-Wk Rng: $22.38-$5.06 12-Month Target: $21(New) Investor Suitability: Aggressive Growth
Qrtly --1Q-- --2Q-- --3Q-- --4Q--EPS
Curr Prior Curr Prior Curr Prior Curr Prior
12/00E§ $0.03 NA $0.06 NA $0.06 NA $0.08 NA
12/99E§ ($0.03)A $0.02A $0.02 $0.05 $0.02 $0.09
12/98A§ $0.26 $0.31 $0.06 ($0.09)

UNLOCKING ASSET VALUES IS A NEAR-TERM FOCUS

o MRV Communications reported revenues of $73.3 million ahead of our estimate of $69.1 million, while reported net income of $525,000 and EPS of $0.02 were in line with our estimates of $470,000 and $0.02, respectively. Gross margin improved to 35% from 33.9% in the first quarter, and the strong dollar negatively affected revenues by approximately $2-$3 million.

o We are adjusting our earnings model to reflect the aggressive pace of investment in R&D and sales & marketing for startups, which should hurt near-term earnings. For 1999, we are raising our revenue estimate to $288.4 million from $283.3 million and lowering our EPS estimate to $0.02 from $0.12. For 2000, we maintain our revenue estimate of $313.0 million and lowering our EPS estimate to $0.23 from $0.51. We are raising our 12-month price target to $21 from $14 to reflect the potential positive impact from asset restructuring.

o The Board of Directors has approved formation of new subsidiary called Optical Access, which will include the lightwave components division. The company has retained a leading investment banker to look into a potential IPO/spin-off of Optical Access, which had revenues of $48 million in calendar 1998 and is on a current run rate of $63 million. This decision was prompted in part by the high current market valuations for pure plays in the optical networking/components space for companies such as JDS-Uniphase, SDL Inc and E-Tek Dynamics.

[Sector's note] They are being very conservative here in lowering their estimates for the current year and next. However, keep in mind that these new products are excellent and are aimed at the CARRIER market. No revenue from them is yet factored in, as there is nothing to base on yet. If these products are winners (and I think they are), future estimates will be revised many times next year as contract wins come in. Nothing from Gruntal or MRVC will reflect that yet (nor should it), but this is what MRVC is going for - and this is why I stay long.