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To: Tradegod who wrote (70105)7/27/1999 5:55:00 PM
From: mogwai8myball  Respond to of 164684
 
Anyone use this as a market indicator: From TheStreet.com
Options Players See
Monday's Fear Feeding
Tuesday's Rally
By Erin Arvedlund
Staff Reporter
7/27/99 1:44 PM ET

Smell the fear. Love the stock market.

There aren't many panic buttons that get options
traders hopping around as fast as the Chicago
Board Options Exchange's overall put-call ratio,
which closed Monday at a whopping 0.70, a level
not seen since February of this year and October
1998, when it hit 0.80 and even approached parity.
More important, said Joe Sunderman of
Schaeffer
Investment
Research in
Cincinnati, is that Monday's 0.70 close capped a
fairly tame, smoothed-out 21-day moving average of
0.38.

"It's been fairly low over the past few weeks,"
Sunderman said of the ratio. "So this move is
definitely out of the ordinary. We take that as a
bullish sign." According to the options Bible,
Options as a Strategic Investment (Prentice Hall
Trade, 1992) by Larry McMillan, the average is
around 0.50. McMillan and other options gurus
adhere to the wisdom that once options-buying tilts
clearly in one direction, the market is about to shift.

Thus, the
massive
put-buying on
Monday was
signaling an end
to the weakness
because the masses are typically wrong -- or, at
the very least, late. The put-call ratio is one of the
cornerstones of this contrarian school of thought.

Enough mumbo-jumbo. "If events like this week's
economic data and Greenspan's [remarks] don't
play out as expected, that could give the market a
real shot in the arm," Sunderman explained. Thus,
investors gear up for that possibility by buying puts. (End)

I closed out my RNWK Aug 90 Puts for 5 points, still short RBAK and looking to add to VERT short. INSP reported 1 cent profit, but will look to say how market reacts tomorrow b/f taking a position.