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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (21228)7/27/1999 10:03:00 PM
From: stockycd  Respond to of 99985
 
IMO, that's the best way to do it.<eom>



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (21228)7/27/1999 10:38:00 PM
From: dennis michael patterson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Ah James, ever the pessimist! Perhaps EUroland and Asia will rally. The euphoria in Korea might be enough!



To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (21228)7/27/1999 10:46:00 PM
From: dennis michael patterson  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Bedford Associates:

Tuesday July 27, 1999

Dodging Bullets

Yesterday we began this section by telling you that
Monday would be a very important session for both bulls
and bears. The concept was surprisingly simple, if bulls
failed to hold support at DOW 10,860 we felt they would
be in big trouble. At fate would have it, by the time the
dust had settled, the DOW closed just above that level,
10,863 to be precise. Have bulls dodged a bullet and is
the market now ready to move higher? We know this
much to be true, stocks are extremely oversold and in the
past such conditions have always given way to big
advances. As we begin trade today we think the odds are
good bulls will begin returning to the long side but we
would be remiss if we suggested, even for a moment, that
the worse is clearly over. The bigger problem for bulls is
technical damage is be incurred that is not easily
repaired. Yes, it is important that they hold 10,860 on a
closing basis, a close below that level, the 50-day moving
average would turn most technical traders bearish and
that would not be a good thing. But the fact that so many
longer term charts are being turned over is far more
worrisome. Sooner or later this longer term damage is
going to lead to a decline through the 50-day moving
average and much bigger problems for bulls. In the very
short term we still expect strength. Unless there is
overnight news that forces stocks lower expect a
significant rally into the Greenspan testimony
Wednesday. At this stage DOW 11,000 looks like a likely
resistance level but we are willing to give bulls the benefit
of doubt..