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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: unclewest who wrote (25981)7/30/1999 7:55:00 AM
From: Ian Anderson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
Sanity check on your figures

PC revenue only

120M PCs will be manufactured in 2001
Rambus in 50% of them earning $2 per machine
$120M/25M shares = $4.8 per share

Ian



To: unclewest who wrote (25981)7/30/1999 9:09:00 PM
From: grok  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 93625
 
RE: <revenue calculation...>

unclewest, shouldn't you account for a delay from dram shipments until Rambus shows the revenue on their books? I believe that you have pointed out this delay recently.

It seems that I only make negative postings about Rambus and maybe this starts out as another one. But I only do this because I think that Intel is pushing rambus too fast in Camino/Coppermine and also because I think some of the claims are overblown. But I am positive overall on Rambus because:
1. Low pin count allows multiple channels in products like Timna and 21364.
2. Granularity will eventually become important since Moore's Law is increasing density a little faster than Gates' Bloat is using it.

I am very interested in analysis like you are doing on Rambus' future earnings. The interesting part is that even without expecting that Rambus dominates the dram business they still get to impressive revenue numbers. Also, since they get their revenue from licensing they have no manufacturing or inventory costs. Perhaps they should have a pe like dotcoms have. Sounds like the price should soar.