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To: bobby beara who wrote (54103)7/30/1999 11:39:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 86076
 
Bobby, i fully agree. i found Garzarelli's rationalizations amusing: she admitted that the market's valuation vs. interest rates is similar to '87 ,i.e. 15% overvalued(it's actually worse), but argued that the valuation vs. inflation is too low, i.e. 15% undervalued.
i guess she means to say if we get deflation that would be even better for the market...<G>
anyway, she's making assumptions about future inflation rates that may or may not turn out to be correct. it is btw. the first time that i heard of this particular valuation gauge.
MSFT's valuation is already much higher than it's 'official' market cap due to it's stock options dilution.

hb



To: bobby beara who wrote (54103)7/31/1999 11:22:00 AM
From: Joan Osland Graffius  Respond to of 86076
 
bobby,

Yesterday on CNBC they were interviewing a five star growth fund manager that has taken his fund to less than 10% technology from 30% technology. He did an excellent job of explaining the Microsofts of the world now have 0 earnings growth if you evaluate the companies value using the stock option programs as a cost. There are some smart money managers out there, they just don't get sufficient media attention.

It is hard to give these guys a lot of media time when the advertising revenue depends on these companies with 0 growth. <ggg>

Joan