Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Mike Buckley who wrote (4435)	7/31/1999 3:03:00 PM
From: Mike Buckley	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 54805

THIS MONTH IN THE FRONT OFFICE -- THE NUMBERS Quarterly Results of our Gorilla Gamers TRAILING REVENUE Siebel $526 million Remedy $186 million Vantive $182 million Clarify $172 million Q2 LICENSING REVENUE Siebel $110 million Remedy $32 million Vantive $22 million Clarify $29 million Q2 LICENSING REVENUE AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE Siebel 67% -- down from 75% Remedy 60% Vantive 46% Clarify 55% Q2 LICENSING REVENUE YEAR-TO-YEAR GROWTH Siebel 63% Remedy 38% Vantive 15% Clarify 46% Q2 LICENSING REVENUE SEQUENTIAL GROWTH Siebel 18% Remedy 37% Vantive 0% (not a typo!) Clarify 18% The Front Office Gorilla Game History Year Month Week Annualized History Gorilla Game 62.31% 47.70% -16.37% -10.83% 50.56% S&P 500 19.65% 8.08% -3.20% -2.08% 16.37% Russell 2000 -3.94% 5.40% -2.82% -0.81% -3.34% There are some pretty startling numbers in that table. Though we're still stomping the indexes, our game continues to be extremely volatile. Take a look at the powerfully negative numbers in the monthly and weekly column that show we're losing significantly to the indexes in the extremely recent past. Though it's terrific that we're up 62% since we started the game and are tripling the S&P 500, that table doesn't show that at the beginning of July we were up 95%. Now the details about the individual stocks: 5/25/98 5/1/99 Average Current Change Shares Stock % of Port Price Price Cost Price since 5/98 62 Clarify 12.6% $13.25 N/A $13.25 $32.94 148.58% 225 Remedy 28.6% $17.44 $17.50 $17.46 $20.63 18.26% 147 Siebel 53.5% $23.00 $38.44 $27.10 $59.13 157.07% 90 Vantive 5.2% $27.63 N/A $27.63 $9.34 -66.18% The final tally: Stocks $16,215.06 Cash $15.61 Total $16,230.67 And the reminders: The portfolio began on 5/25/98 with $10,000. This is NOT a real- money portfolio. Commissions are based on $8 per trade. Because the interest earned on the cash portion of the portfolio would not meaningfully affect the results of the portfolio, interest is not accounted for. Disclosure: I own shares of Siebel Systems and have held long and short positions in front office stocks shown above as well as others. I'll continue to consider positions in those and other front office stocks. --Mike Buckley