To: Ken who wrote (7535 ) 8/1/1999 11:27:00 AM From: Lane3 Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9818
Ken, thanks for your thoughtful and personal response. I, too, would miss my classical music as well as plentiful hot water for long showers, libraries/data banks full of reading material, raspberries all year 'round... I really don't think we'll have to do without them (well, maybe the raspberries for the rest of the winter). If we do, I think you will find that you adapt. If things go badly, a little switch goes off in your head telling you that raspberries and minty-fresh breath no longer matter and bugs don't taste so bad. Since you asked so nicely :), here are the issues that have my attention. - Nuclear accidents: fairly low probability; terrible consequences; way beyond my ability to deal with if it happens so why worry. - Power, water, sewer: Low probability in my part of the world, limited duration, minor consequences. If I lived where things froze in the winter, I'd be less cavalier and doing more research. For me, this warrants hurricane/snowstorm type of preparation. - Computer problems: High likelihood of something happening somewhere, low likelihood of it being massive, insoluble, or irreversible. - Supply chains: Likely, particularly beyond North America/Euroland either because the supply chains break or because of excess inventory stored to avoid the breaks. Little or no personal consequence, but expected portfolio consequence similar to the Asian-induced problem last fall. - Stock market: Medium to high probability, primarily due to financial prudence compounded by panic rather than organic problems. Consequence still being pondered. - Dominos: I am a systems analyst by training and am much appreciative of the action of dominos, but I put this in with nuclear accidents, don't worry about it, and encourage others not to either (hint, hint), so as not to induce panic (see "stock market" above). Unless I missed something, the rest of the issues are below my radar level. As you can see, I think "the greatest thing we have to fear is fear itself." Karen