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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ken who wrote (7535)8/1/1999 11:27:00 AM
From: Lane3  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9818
 
Ken, thanks for your thoughtful and personal response. I, too, would miss my classical music as well as plentiful hot water for long showers, libraries/data banks full of reading material, raspberries all year 'round... I really don't think we'll have to do without them (well, maybe the raspberries for the rest of the winter). If we do, I think you will find that you adapt. If things go badly, a little switch goes off in your head telling you that raspberries and minty-fresh breath no longer matter and bugs don't taste so bad.

Since you asked so nicely :), here are the issues that have my attention.
- Nuclear accidents: fairly low probability; terrible consequences; way beyond my ability to deal with if it happens so why worry.
- Power, water, sewer: Low probability in my part of the world, limited duration, minor consequences. If I lived where things froze in the winter, I'd be less cavalier and doing more research. For me, this warrants hurricane/snowstorm type of preparation.
- Computer problems: High likelihood of something happening somewhere, low likelihood of it being massive, insoluble, or irreversible.
- Supply chains: Likely, particularly beyond North America/Euroland either because the supply chains break or because of excess inventory stored to avoid the breaks. Little or no personal consequence, but expected portfolio consequence similar to the Asian-induced problem last fall.
- Stock market: Medium to high probability, primarily due to financial prudence compounded by panic rather than organic problems. Consequence still being pondered.
- Dominos: I am a systems analyst by training and am much appreciative of the action of dominos, but I put this in with nuclear accidents, don't worry about it, and encourage others not to either (hint, hint), so as not to induce panic (see "stock market" above).
Unless I missed something, the rest of the issues are below my radar level.

As you can see, I think "the greatest thing we have to fear is fear itself."

Karen