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To: susan zigouras who wrote (1176)8/1/1999 5:00:00 PM
From: Seeker of Truth  Respond to of 6020
 
About the short term: Let's say you climb a tower with a feather.
You ask a physicist, Jay Chen, what will happen when you
release the feather out of the tower. He will say that in the
long term, since the feather is denser than air, it will fall
to the ground. But since the density difference is tiny, in
the short term it could easily be propelled by passing
breezes to elevations far away from its ultimate destination.
Warren Buffet, the greatest passive investor ever, put it
this way: If someone claims to know where stocks are going in
the short term, he shouldn't be allowed to talk to children.



To: susan zigouras who wrote (1176)8/1/1999 5:41:00 PM
From: LOGAN12  Respond to of 6020
 
Susan, read back on the thread. I just asked Jay the same question. There is a great deal of current info here.



To: susan zigouras who wrote (1176)8/1/1999 7:08:00 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6020
 
Malcolm is correct, and fun. Long term, my retirement is on 9984. Short term, I buy the shares slowly as I have a large allocation already, and I trade the call warrant, but only to the extent of 5% of my long position in shares, as I do not want to lose my gains by fritting away on perishable warrants. If you like CMGI, 9984 should give you a better ride, especially when the US folks in general starts to realize
(1) Geographic diversification is valuable
(2) Asian internet revolution will be no smaller than the US one
(3) Strategy does matter when the battle field gets crowded (E-bay, Amazon, etc etc)
(4) One company has the proper credentials and alliances to implement its well thought out strategy
(5) Asia has been, to a great extent, been locked up by this one company
(6) and the same company has a good starter position in Europe as well
My only caution is the US market. I am selling off a bit, reluctantly. I bought 9984 not because their implied value in Yahoo, E-trade etc was at 50% discount to underlying holdings at market value. I bought 9984 because of above 6 facts.