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Strategies & Market Trends : Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony, -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mr. Big who wrote (41882)8/2/1999 9:10:00 AM
From: Anthony@Pacific  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 122087
 
I wouldnt be long a damn thing.....earnings or not..they are great decoys



To: Mr. Big who wrote (41882)8/2/1999 1:24:00 PM
From: uclatrader  Respond to of 122087
 
option investor start QLGC as short play this week

QLGC - QLogic Corp. $166.87 (+9.44)(+15.75)

If time is money, then QLogic is providing eight of the ten top
server manufacturers with better speed and performance than
their competition. Companies like IBM, Dell, Fujitsu, Quantum,
Hitachi, and others, all view QLogic as the innovator and the
place to be when it comes to providing SCSI, enclosure
management products, storage subsystems, and data storage
peripherals. Qlogic is so innovative, that they were the ones
who provided the industry with the first standard SCSI
processor. Labeled as one of the "most booming young
companies" of 1998 by Fortune Magazine, they are responsible
for the new growth market of Fibre Channel. This is allowing
them to be ranked a true leader in the electronic components
and semiconductor industry.

What an incredible few weeks it has been for QLGC. On July
14, the company announced a 2:1 stock split. A very bullish
move considering the news was made public a day before
their earnings announcement. Then they gave us the earnings
surprise investors were waiting for. A $0.60/share earnings
vs. the $0.49 estimate. Investors have been rewarded
handsomely with this news, and have also been provided
opportunities for entry due to the volatility of the stock.
The price run into the stock split has been exceptionally
strong, considering our market conditions; however, it is
time for QLGC to rest. We believe that the post split
depression will cause the stock to retreat substantially.
This due mostly profit taking and catch-up to our current
market. Also, the close Friday put us above the top
Bollinger band on our charts. If we see a gap down Monday,
the slide should be quite strong due to this formation. It
can an extremely bearish signal when market conditions are
negative also. This play is not for everyone. You'll have
to watch the stock for an entry point Monday morning. Plus
you'll need to call your broker for the correct put option
symbols. Their 2:1 split is effective Monday and is bound
to cause some confusion with most online quote services.
The correction we are looking for could be as short as 1 or
2 days or it could last a couple of weeks. You'll need
to watch it closely.

Only good news to report on this stock. They are being
added to the S&P MidCap 400 index, along with several
brokerages upgrading the stock, in addition to what has
already been mentioned. When all the good news comes at
once, as it has with QLGC, it doesn't leave any excitement
for after the party. We think the party is over for the
short term, and puts should be our play. Due to the
volatility of this stock, the fact that the trends have
been strong to the upside, and there may be some Johnny
come lately to the party, use extreme caution before
entering. Remember, 7 out of 10 stocks go down after a
split. There is a 30% chance we'll get hit on this play,
but the odds are in our favor after such a strong ramp up
the last two weeks.

NO OPTIONS are listed. Call your broker for the new
put option symbols.

Average Daily Volume =424k
Chart = quote.yahoo.com

shuo