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Strategies & Market Trends : Cents and Sensibility - Kimberly and Friends' Consortium -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: t36 who wrote (13214)8/3/1999 8:51:00 AM
From: Kimberly Lee  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108040
 
thanks, I36. AMZN = the Emperor with no clothes, from ISR today:
<The worst, however, may be yet to come. Amazon.com was forced on Monday
to make an interest payment on $1.25 billion in debt that the company
sold in February. Further, as long as AMZN shares trade below the
conversion level that would allow the company to convert the notes for
stock, it must continue to pay interest on the debt. So what's the
conversion level? Try $234.08, a price Amazon.com would have to reach at
least 20 out of 30 consecutive trading days to convert debt to stock.

Some analysts have dismissed the importance of the debt payment, noting
correctly that it won't impact earnings expectations in '99. However,
coming so soon after a quarterly report that showed dramatically
widening losses, the psychological impact on profit-anxious investors
could accelerate Amazon.com's already precipitous plunge.

Like all other e-tailers, Amazon.com is looking forward to the fall,
when holiday shopping begins in earnest. Last year was a huge one for
e-tailers, and analysts expect an even better season in '99.

Until then, there's not much to support a turnaround -- or even a
holding operation -- for Amazon.com shares. August looms as a long month
for the e-tail king and its investors.>