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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Knighty Tin who wrote (65717)8/3/1999 4:12:00 PM
From: Freedom Fighter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Mike,

I know a handful of bettors that make money at the racetrack on a consistent basis. All of them do better in maiden races, claiming races and other cheap classifications. I think form fluctuates more widely in cheaper races and that accounts for the bigger prices and potential overlays. There are also more prep races and other trainer related factors that are value possibilities.

I've always been fascinated with the sporting aspect of stakes races and have studied them carefully for many years. I think I've developed some special insights into them. As a result, I've always done better as a handicapper in high quality races. (this year's triple crown was unprofitable for me though)

Now that I've developed a betting strategy that fits my personality, I've been able to generate a high ROI for the last four years. Prior to that my results were spotty. My handicapping was excellent but my betting was a horror show. I had a tough time matching my opinions on the horses' ability to a price that was profitable or an exotic that enhanced the value. My bet sizes fluctuated for reasons that made no sense and I made lots of poor 'saver' bets that destroyed value.

I think you're right about making more money in cheap races. I just can't find the value with my set of skills at this stage. (and I've been playing horses for 24 years).

Wayne