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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: D. Long who wrote (13899)	8/4/1999 5:26:00 AM
From: MNI	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 17770

What a strange time to be interested in politics. :) + :) I think you are right about the term schizoid - but it seems to be equally true that the christian democrats here haven't changed so much the place, but the Chancellor and some of his buddies are far right from their party, having overtaken the problem-inflicted conservative party in a general right-shift of economic policies. The Social democrats are very schizoid thereby, because they support the person Schroeder, but support for his policy, especially economic policy, is quite unsure. Some of the leaders have shifted right, not taking their party with them. BTW when Schroeder was the leader of the 'Young Social Democrats" (Youth+Student organization of the Party) twenty years ago he was still a fan of STAMOKAP (an idea to monopolize industrial capital ownership with the state, but run the production in consumerism fashion, and to have all design and retail in private, competitive hands, which wash fashionable with the YSD ten years earlier). I was still a child then. I think the president's importance is still not confined to army and foreign affairs. As I understand he can veto everything from the House, thereby making the democratically elected parliament a lame duck. Anyway, my analysis is: the republican candidate has a much higher likelihood of winning the presidential elections, and if nothing goes wrong, it can be expected that this is true also for the following elections. Given this political stability, it should seem wise to take actions to gradually increase the importance of the federal government. So I predict slightly increased government spending, e.g. for better army funding, more federal spending on science and technological development. An important new field is technological secret intelligence (copying is cheaper than inventing), maybe even in foreign market sabotage, but this is unlikely to take a lot of money, even if it is much expanded. I assume federal spending on infrastructure (maybe information infrastructure?) will rise. I assume that the federal deficit will be reduced, but not dramatically. Tax cuts are more popular, don't you think so? Deficit reduction would surely stop if the economic growth was slowing down, which might be what happens next. But, when I say this, it is only a lot of phantasy, not really founded. It will be a Republican who starts turning around the Reagan agenda. Regards MNI.