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To: Jan Crawley who wrote (71676)8/3/1999 10:54:00 PM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Hi Jan Crawley; Let my take a swing at "explaining" why a bond holder would want to keep his short...

Right now, the bond holders have an in the money short, and a losing bond position. But the bond hasn't yet gone to zero, so they still have money available to lose on the bond. Consequently covering the short would leave them with a naked and dangerous (i.e. junk) bond position. Having an unhedged position like that is an unnecessary risk.

In addition, if they are a taxable entity, covering the short will leave them with a short term capital gain.

Now it is always possible that if they cover their short, that they could reshort at a higher price. But that would require a trader, not a hedger. Those of who actually try to make money trading know that sometimes you have to reenter your short at a lower price. The difference between the short at the higher price and the short at the lower price would be a loss (relative to their original position), just as if they had gone long in another account, (boxing the short) and then sold the long at a lower price.

So to ensure that they actually would improve their position by covering (or boxing) the short they would have to ensure that they could reshort at a higher price. Of course that is something that it is not possible to ensure. (The claims of the perfect traders not withstanding.)

If this explanation is insufficient, my apologies, I will fill out an example with the actual numbers, and the account values etc., at the end, showing the possible consequences of early coverage.

-- Carl



To: Jan Crawley who wrote (71676)8/4/1999 12:20:00 AM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Jan, you're into technical issues here. I was thinking about the liquidity (back, GST, BACK!) issues here with just the internet stocks.

I'm thinking that broker resrrictions on margin trading had a dampening effect on both supply and demand. One reason why short interest hasn't swelled, and why (even technically-)supporting liquidity isn't robust is the margin limits placed by the major houses.