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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sbwookie who wrote (28194)8/4/1999 4:42:00 PM
From: John F.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41369
 
AOL quarter ending Sept "looks very very strong"
seasonally slow summer has "never been stronger"...
per AOL President,Ted Leonsis.

August 3, 1999
Nasdaq Battered by AOL Rumor, Interest-Rate Fears
By Karyn McCormack and Monica Rivituso

RUMORS THAT subscriber growth could be slowing
at America Online (AOL) only added another cold blast
to the chill that came over tech stocks Tuesday. The
tech-heavy Nasdaq index tumbled as much as 2.3%
during trading, before creeping up in the afternoon to end
the session down 35.64 points, or 1.4%. The Nasdaq
is now down 9.7% from its all-time high of 2864.48 on
July 16. And with the threat of higher interest rates
looming, market-watchers think that tech stocks could
see more bad days ahead.

A rumor flew around trading desks Tuesday that AOL could
see a slowdown in subscriber growth this quarter from last
quarter. AOL stock fell as much as 7.4% before the
company's president, Ted Leonsis, said at a BancBoston
Robertson Stephens technology conference that the
seasonally slow summer has "never been stronger" and
that its fiscal first quarter (ending September) "looks very,
very strong," according to Dow Jones Newswires.

But the reassurance from AOL didn't help its Internet
cousins much. The Dow Jones Internet index fell 5.9%
Tuesday. "Tech?s really taking it on the chin," said Peter
Coolidge, a trader at Brean Murphy. Art Hogan at Jefferies
& Co. also said that technical indicators for the whole
market looked "lousy," but that it's nothing to lose sleep
over.

Indeed, a few stocks acted as if nothing is awry. Intel
(INTC) shares actually hit a new high during the day of
73 9/16; the chip giant is seeing strong demand. Hogan
also noted he hears that PC sales are strong. That would
help explain the rise in Hewlett-Packard (HWP), which
was the second-largest percentage gainer in the Dow
Jones Industrial Average on Tuesday. In fact, while the
Nasdaq fell, gains in consumer stocks such as Procter
& Gamble (PG) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) lifted the
Dow.

Still, the big weight on investors' shoulders continues to be
uncertainty surrounding interest rates. The Federal Reserve
may have enough evidence that inflation is creeping back
by the time it meets Aug. 24, Hogan said. Thursday's
productivity report and Friday's employment report will get
even more attention. Some people might be taking a wait-
and-see approach until that report comes out. "I don?t see
a lot of people rushing to buy stocks before we see what
that number holds," said Coolidge.

In this environment, Tony Spare, chairman of San Francisco
money management firm Spare, Kaplan, Bischel & Associates,
is sticking to his contrarian value approach when picking stocks.
"Valuation of the 10 to 15 largest-cap stocks is outrageously high,"
Spare said. "We buy inexpensive stocks that are neglected,"
he said, noting that he holds positions for three to five years -- an
eternity to today's day traders. Spare said he is adding to his
positions in Manpower (MAN), International Flavors and
Fragrances (IFF), Lubrizol (LZ) and Ford (F), but is trimming
back on telephone and energy stocks.

smartmoney.com