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To: k.ramesh who wrote (49001)8/7/1999 5:49:00 AM
From: Ditchdigger  Respond to of 95453
 
Ramesh,,one you didn't mention-CHK,,,a few numbers I pulled
from the second Q PR and conference call(and a few calcs): givens-
1) average sale price of NG was $1.88 per cmf in Q2
2)for every $.10 increase in the price of gas CHK's annual earnings and cash flow
increase by approximately $0.10 per share and net asset value increases by
approximately $0.50 per share.(quote from the company)
3) there are no current 99 hedges on gas (they have begun hedging April2000-Oct2000)
4)info---NYMEX july gas averaged $2.30 per cmf
5) cash flow from operations was $.34 per share for Q2
Now, if we use the July $2.30 number as the average mcf price in Q3, we have an
increased selling price of $.42 per mcf over Q2 (remember we aren't hedged,so we mimic the
quote).. .42/4Q's=10.5 cents increase in cash flow over Q2 for Q3..about a 30%
increase Q over Q(using $2.30).
CHK's reserves are 87% NG..hope this gives you a little info on the impact on earnings from higher NG prices....Aug average NYMEX price
$2.617...CHK appears to have gone back and filled the gap--I own the stock..DD
oilworld.com



To: k.ramesh who wrote (49001)8/7/1999 6:20:00 AM
From: Ditchdigger  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
PS: while the Winter heating season is still a bit off in the future-I have 51 degrees here this morning :^)DD