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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (38555)8/7/1999 5:02:00 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116768
 
This gentleman, George, has been on the money since I began reading him.

Wave Signals Newsletter
By Mike Drakulich 8-7-99

AND THE BEAT GOES ON, AND THE BEAT GOES ON!

And the Bears keep pounding a Bearish rhythm to the brain. Enough of
Sonny and Cher, the "theme" I have outlined the past few months of a major
stock market and U.S. dollar top continues to intensify and be reinforced
by recent market action. As expected, commodities are also showing signs of
a life as the CRB has rallied almost 8% off its July 13th bottom, very
likely a long term low. The horrible action in the A/D line, number of
stocks making new 52-week lows, utter complacency by the majority, and
Ewave patterns, tell me the odds are VERY high that a top at least as
important as last July has been seen, and there is a good chance this could
top could ultimately result in a decline of at least 30-35% in the major
averages, yes folks the stock markets mega tour of "Fantasyland" may
finally be over.
I have pointed out that the dollar and stock charts have literally
been mirror images of each other over the past year especially, and since
1995 overall, those charts in my opinion are now telling the same negative
story. That is not a surprise as the strong dollar had helped draw in funds
from around the world to help propel this huge Bull Market to incredible
heights. Now the trend there has turned down, just look at a daily chart of
the dollar index and compare it to one of the S&P 500 index, pretty amazing
stuff. And I have also forecast higher interest rates since early this
year, looking for the long Bond to get to 6 1/2 to 7% by year end, we
appear well on our way and within easy reach of that target. So, with two
major props of the huge Bull Market leaving the arena(strong dollar and low
interest rates), is it any wonder that the stock market is "feeling the heat"?
There are still a few bastions of strength out there, but very few.
The Chip stocks and a few other Tech stocks are doing well while Rome
burns. Just take a look at daily and weekly charts of very important
indices like the NYSE Financials, the Bank index, and the Transports. These
indices appear in massive 3rd wave accelerations to the downside, which
very well could be a precursor to a very big slide in the rest of the
market in the next 2-4 weeks. Small caps are getting hammered as well, even
with so many analysts "touting" why they should do better than the rest of
their market. If I am right about what is unfolding here, and what is
likely to unfold in the weeks and months ahead, there will be very few
shelters from the storm! Cash, which everyone shuns will prove a great
place to be for longer term investors who do not want to play the short side.
For savvy traders willing to "play" both sides of the market, there
are many ways to profit for what is likely going to be the most dramatic
and volatile time frame since the Fall of 1987.

decisionpoint.com