SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : CMGI What is the latest news on this stock? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Netwit who wrote (12536)8/12/1999 1:53:00 PM
From: Charlie Schultz  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19700
 
Possibly because ALTA VISTA is offering free internet
access and is 60% owned by CMGI
Just a thought.

Charlie



To: Netwit who wrote (12536)8/12/1999 9:35:00 PM
From: BeachCrunc  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19700
 
CMGI as a mutual fund or even as a pure VC - this is not why I bought in as a stockholder. CMGI has so much more to offer in terms of value added - knowledge, operational expertise -- technical/business/investment/marketing/personnel plus synergy with other companies.

If I was a CEO of an upstart, I would love to be with CMGI during the early years. As stockholders, we do have the challenge of evaluating earnings. As CMGI gets larger and more operational, this problem will be reduced. In the meantime, it will be difficult.

I believe the VCALL price projection of $150 for CMGI was based on the target value of entities. As more entities go public, this will be easier to calculate.



To: Netwit who wrote (12536)8/13/1999 4:56:00 AM
From: sunny  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19700
 
hi netwit

sorry for the delay - have been busy yesterday.
Okay, let's "crunch the numbers" ;-)

Actually it does make sense to calculate all the data per CMGI share.
I'm gonna take the numbers from 08/11 because this way i can use
my latest update numbers.

There's some 95.3 million shares on CMGI outstanding.

(numbers as of 08/11) per CMGI share:
-------------------------------------------------------
26 13/16 83% engage: 1044 mio.$ 10.95$/share
128 1/16 03% Yahoo (?): 780 mio.$ 8.18$/share
33 3/8 17% lycos: 495 mio.$ 5.19$/share
28 7/16 24% silknet: 102 mio.$ 1.07$/share
18 1/2 16% chemdex: 94 mio.$ 0.99$/share
33 06% critical path: 75 mio.$ 0.79$/share
-----------------------------
publicly traded 2590 mio.$ 27.18$/share
-----------------------------
IPO soon: Blaxxun&Navisite: 800 mio.$ 8.39$/share
-----------------------------
After forthcoming IPOs: 35.57$/share

Now it's getting complicated. Does anyone know at what share price
the AV acquisition closes/closed?
They will issue new stock - but is it
2.3b$/110$ (as of announcement time) or 2.3b$/77$ (like today or
sometime in the future?). At 110$ they would have to issue
approx. 21 million new shares, at a price of 77$ CMGI needs
approx. 30 million new shares.
I think it's the first figure, so I'll go on with the 21 million
resulting in 116.3 million shares outstanding after the acquisition
(ignoring the 200 million cash they raised/will raise for the payment
so it should be less than 116.3 million shares but raising the debt).

The 83% stake in AltaVista is obviously currently worth 2.3 billion $
(since this is the amount CMGI paid CPQ).

Numbers after the AltaVista dilution effect:
-----------------------------
public holdings after IPOs: 3.390 million $
116.3 million shares out: 29.15$/share
-----------------------------
AVista acquisition 2300 mio.$: 19.78$/share
-----------------------------
Per share "public" holdings: 49.00$/share

If we assume that the publicly paid price for AltaVista can be included
in the "public holdings" of CMGI, the Robertson analyst is right.
So, after the AltaVista acquisition the 50$/share figure is quite
correct if we include conservative assumptions for the two near term
IPOs of Blaxxun&Navisite. It's also a conservative number because
AltaVista should bring in more than 2.3b$ after the IPO.

Then again, if i base the calculation on more aggressive assumptions
with all holdings and iCast, I can come up with a result of overall
holdings of 150$/share w/o problems (there are more than
20 non-public companies in CMGIs books).

Conclusion: the numbers make sense to me.

Hope this could help.

Regards
sunny