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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Alex Raytselsky who wrote (28131)	8/12/1999 8:21:00 PM
From: Mitch Blevins	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

Lies, damn lies, and statistics... Hi Alex, The numbers you saw of 15% Linux (actually, I think it was 17%) only applied to server shipments, not desktop or installed base. Linux is quickly coming to dominate the server arena, but is still very much a niche player on the desktop. -Mitch

To: Alex Raytselsky who wrote (28131)	8/13/1999 11:52:00 AM
From: Stormweaver	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74651

Couldn't find the link I had for desktop ownership % breakdown but the numbers you stated are way too high. It's more like MSFT 80%, Linux 3%, MAC 7% , UNIX + others take the remainder. Also here's why Linux is going to take at least 2 years: MSFT has the momentum... 1. Currently most popular; based on % of desktop. 2. Currently most user friendly; maybe MAC is about same. 3. Currently has the most variety of apps/hardware available for it. 4. Easy to self-administer for non-techies; automated installs, plug-n-play. Why corporations won't switch in the short term: 1. Thin client commercially available apps to replace the variety/richness of apps on MSFT aren't here yet. 2. If apps were available it would cost big $$$$ - retraining, buying installing new apps,switchover from MSFT apps - converting all data! 3. With Y2K approaching most companies aren't in the mood for any more changes. /James