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To: KeepItSimple who wrote (73490)8/13/1999 4:42:00 AM
From: Olu Emuleomo  Respond to of 164684
 
KIS,

Could this be the source of your troubles?

--Olu E.
(from trading-ideas.com)
-------------------------------------------------------------------
PaineWebber raised 12-month price target for Intel from $80 to $95 based on
the fact that PC demand is expected to remain strong during the second
half. Seasonally, more units are shipped during the second half due to
holiday shopping and increased promotional activities. While most analysts
expect Intel to earn 54-55 cents per share in earnings, PaineWebber expects
Intel to generate EPS of 58 cents. They believe that unit shipments would
be up sequentially due to the induction of new Pentium III chips, higher
demand for overseas (now that many of the emerging economies are
rebounding) and various rebates being offered by companies such as
Microsoft, AOL and others. Earnings would be boosted, as Intel's ASPs are
expected to be higher in Q3 than Q2. For example, Intel introduced 600 MHz
Pentium III, which are priced around $699, much higher than its blended ASP
of $220 last quarter. The price for its 500 MHz Celeron is at $167, above
Celeron ASP of $75 last quarter. While Intel might not get those prices for
i
ts new chips due to large volume discounts, overall, ASPs are expected to
be higher, which is expected to improve margin and EPS. There are reports
that Intel is seeing strong demand for its Pentium and Celeron chips, as
spot prices for its chipset is up 28% above list. Pentium III chips
continued to gain momentum over P-II, most of the interest appears to be
concentrated on P-III 450 processor. However, demand for Pentium III 500
and 550 is increasing. Intel introduced 600 MHz Pentium III processor last
week, manufactured on .25-micron process. Challenge is for the company to
migrate to 0.18-minron by late September.

International Data Corp said that unit shipments rose 27% during the second
quarter and are expected to rise 2% sequentially, which suggests that
overall unit shipments are going to be strong in Q3. After the introduction
of new chips, several PC makers said that they would incorporate the new
chips in their new systems. PaineWebber believes that Intel could earn as
much as $3.25 in 2001and based on that, shares could trade at a price
multiple of 29, which provides a price target of $95 in 12 months.