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Technology Stocks : Red Hat Software Inc. (Nasdq-RHAT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Land Shark who wrote (435)8/12/1999 10:56:00 PM
From: Pink Minion  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1794
 
It's very EASY for others to do the same! I simply don't see the justification for current valuations, period. This is overdone.

You can complain about the valuation but it is not a Pos. I've seen Pos'es and this is no Pos. We're talking about a product developed by the brightest people in the world. The "Michael Jordans" of the software industy.

I really think the next Microsoft will come from this movement. Is RHAT it or is it the next Apple or Osborne?

Mshater, I thought you didn't like hype. Shame on you.
We're talking about an evolution in human development. To me I think that is bigger than the Internet. And hell yes I'm hyping. It's our only hope.

Linux is going to turn Windows into an "Application Operating System". Which is what those bastards want anyway. Let them throw everything but the kitchen sink in it. If it crashes - start up a new GNOME window or whatever. That will also allow the Dilbert Pointy Hairs to get weaned off those applications until network computing catches up. That will happen when we have 6M pipe to the home and office.

The days of having to be a mechanic to run your car are over.

But, it taking the desktop and server market by storm? Trust me, that will take another decade before it takes a significant toehold. Risk of that not occuring is not built in the price,

Not if it is preloaded on every friggin machine built. Again, I can't comprehend YHOO at 40Billion. This is bigger than YHOO.

MH



To: Land Shark who wrote (435)8/12/1999 11:42:00 PM
From: Pink Minion  Respond to of 1794
 
daily.zdevents.com

In the typical proprietary model for new technology, said Young, a company might spend $100 million on research followed by the wining and dining of journalists to boast about this new technology. But with Linux, journalists were the last to know of the "new" technology.

MH



To: Land Shark who wrote (435)8/13/1999 12:19:00 AM
From: RobbRacer  Respond to of 1794
 
Interesting article:

Red Hat shares soar into "nosebleed territory"
By Therese Poletti
SAN FRANCISCO, Aug 12 (Reuters) - Shares of Red Hat Inc.,
<RHAT.O>surged 40 percent to levels analysts called "nosebleed
territory" Thursday, giving the distributor of the Linux
operating system a market capitalization of nearly $5 billion a
day after its debut.
Red Hat had already seen the price of its freshly issued
shares more than triple Wednesday to close at $52.0625, after
raising its IPO target price range and selling six million
shares at $14 a share.
On Thursday, shares of the Durham, N.C.-based firm rose to
$72.625, giving the fast growing but money losing company a
market capitalization of about $4.8 billion based on 66.6
million common shares outstanding. That total does not include
shares reserved for employee stock options.
"These levels are nosebleed territory and the stock does
not belong at these levels," said David Menlow of the IPO
Financial Network in Millburn, N.J. "It's totally
unsustainable."
Analysts said Red Hat's IPO was so well received --
especially during a major downturn in the Internet IPO market
-- because it is the leader in the emerging market of Linux
software. Linux is a version of the UNIX operating system
created by Finnish programmer Linus Torvalds. It now competes
with Microsoft Corp.'s <MSFT.O> Windows NT in some areas such
as running Web servers and e-mail servers.
Red Hat received a tremendous amount of publicity as the
first company in the quirky Linux community to go public. Its
IPO was held during a major trade show for Linux in Silicon
Valley this week.
"It is an early mover in what is obviously a hot area,"
said Paul Bard, an analyst with Renassiance Capital Corp. in
Greenwich, Conn. "I think what investors are betting on is the
growth of the market for the Linux operating system. Lots of
people think this could be really big."
Indeed, Linux was the fastest growing operating system in
the network server market, according to International Data
Corp., which said that Linux grew faster than Windows NT.
But Linux is still mostly used by hobbyists on the desktop
and most analysts do not expect to see Linux overtaking
Microsoft's dominant Windows among average PC users. Still, are
a growing number of software products, such as KDE from
MandrakeSoft, give Linux an easier-to-use interface.
"The risk factors in the prospectus accurately outline the
concerns we have for the company," Menlow said.
One of the risk factors in the company's prospectus is that
Red Hat is the largest distributor of software that is already
given away over the Internet. Red Hat also gives away Linux at
its Web site. It sells the shrink-wrapped versions of Red Hat
Linux in computer stores for about $50 and plans to make most
of its money by software and services for Linux.
Its revenues soared 109 percent in the fiscal year ended
February 1999 to $10.8 million, and the company showed a loss
of $130,000. Red Hat expects to incur substantial losses in the
future, as it increases sales, marketing and research.
Competition is another risk. Because Linux is not owned by
any one company, many new companies provide services and
support for the software. Torvalds, who wrote the Linux kernel,
the core of the operating system, still manages its upgrades
and development by a group of far-flung programmers.
Another potential risk factor for all companies developing
around Linux is the software's reliance upon Torvalds and a
small group of engineers for major upgrades.
"Our reliance on the support of Linus Torvalds and other
prominent Linux developers could impair our ability to release
major product upgrades and maintain market share," the company
said in its prospectus.
Analysts said many investors may be bidding up the stock
based on Linux's potential to compete with Microsoft, and
therefore they are hoping for the same profit potential.
"It's a completely different business model (from o...

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