SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (597)8/13/1999 4:25:00 AM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
James, I thought it best to post DOW levels before PPI/CPI data just to reinforce nirvana I don't know what I am talking about:

DOW From MITA 419 on Fri Aug 6th:
"DOW is trading in this narrowing wedge b/w 10,830 and 10,648. The outside bands once it breaks either way are 11,025 resistance and .. 10,470 support 1 and 10,410 capitulation support."

decisionpoint.com

Nothing has changed except this: we have bounced the last two days and have worked off the excessive oversold levels. We can now expect the downtrend to continue to manifest itself. I expect primary support of 10,648 to be tested and taken out in the next two trading days (FRI 13th, MON 16th)on a close. Further, once 10,648 is taken out(close), expect downward gravitational pull to penetrate through 10,470 to immediately materialize in quick fashion before some attempt of an intraday bounce back above this level. This may or may not hold above 10,470 for the day. It doesn't matter. Custer Bulls last stand is 10,410 and I expect this will get taken out by TUES Aug 17th close. Once 10,410 is out, next support is DOW 10,170. Ralphie BOY Amakeyoupoorah (Mr. 13K DOW)and his bull cohorts will then spin the spiders chamelean web-weave stating this impending fall below 10,000 is healthy for long run bull but its the interest rates blah blah blah. The reality is only last month in face of earnings season were they laughing at bears proclaiming victory and snidely pounding the last nail in bear coffin to forever bury bears. Here it comes...

I stick my neck out because BREADTH DOES COUNT, AND TO THINK I AM BLOWING HOT AIR DOOMSDAY WITH BLINDERS ON SHOWS COMPLETE ARROGANCE BULLS HAVE TO RESPECTING THE A/D INDEX, let alone anything some naive bear would say.

THESE ARE FACTS: WE NOW HAVE LESS THAN 40% OF ALL NYSE STOCKS ABOVE THEIR 200 DMA. WE NOW HAVE THE HIGHEST EXPANDING NUMBER OF NYSE STOCKS HITTING NEW 52 WEEK LOWS SINCE OCTOBER '98. AND WHEN THIS NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE BETWEEN THE TROOPS (BROAD MARKET AVERAGE STOCK) AND THE GENERALS (30 LARGE CAP MARKET LEADERS)IS THIS PROFOUND, HISTORY SHOWS THE GENERALS ARE THE ONES TO BREAK DOWN and take the fall, NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND. The broad market has already taken the fall. I guess stock market valuations will have to be readjusted back down to reality shortly.


Best, J.T.