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Technology Stocks : 2000: Y2K Civilized Discussion -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: J.L. Turner who wrote (155)8/13/1999 11:25:00 AM
From: flatsville  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 662
 
J.L.T.--

Cap Gemini numbers as reported in the press and by Cap Gemini themselves are often hard to work with.

Drew Parkhill from cbn.org indicates that those companies that do not expect all (meaning 100%?) mission critical systems to be compliant and tested has increased since the first survey in this manner:

Aug. '98 12%
Nov. '98 16%
May '99 22%
Aug. '99 52%

I believe he has tracked these percentages correctly as this category--those who do not expect all misssion critical to be tested and compliant--has remained a consistent category through all four reports.

Then we get snippets of data like this from the Aug. "99 report:

>>>One in five companies (18 percent) expect that 75 percent or less of their critical systems will be "completely tested and compliant" by December 31,1999.<<<

When I go back and try to find that expect 75 percent or less of critical systems "completely tested and compliant" category I can't find it in any of the of the prior report press releases including those on the Cap Gemini web site! Inconsistent reporting render this information useless.

I think the above category is perhaps a more important than the all category. Assuming all is 100%, most respondents might/will be reluctant to make that claim because they've experienced disclaimer conditioning by their legal departments.

Or a consistently reported category such as expect 76% - 99% of mission critical systems completed and tested

I though I had a real gem here in the latest report when I read,>>>Thirty-six percent expect between 76 and 99 percent of their applications (total? critical and non-critical?) to be ready for Year 2000,<<< but it turned out to be useless. The definitions of "applications" was missing and I couldn't find a comparable category in prior reporting.

See my post to Ron Reece: Message 10906603

(This is maddening and I'm appalled that Cap Gemini has done such a sloppy damn job of reporting this to the public. I wonder if their actually research is that sloppy? If anyone has actually seen the data in report form please let me know.)

The only thing we can say re: the Aug. '99 report is that pessimism for 100% complete and tested is increasing.

I think the "death by 1000 cuts" info is in those expect 76% - 99% or mission critical complete and tested and the expect 75% percent or less of mission critical complete and tested categories which don't exist.