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To: steinmetz who wrote (139115)	8/13/1999 10:23:00 AM
From: Lancer	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 176387

Not totally of topic - And something that makes me concerned. China considering a military show of force over Taiwan: report WASHINGTON, Aug 13 (AFP) - China is considering a show of military force against Taipei as a reaction to statements by President Lee Teng-hui that Taiwan and China should be treated as equals, the Washington Post reported Friday. The newspaper said the assertions were made recently to US analysts and experts by Chinese Embassy officials and visiting Chinese army officers and scholars. The Post cautions that the tough talk from China might be psychological warfare designed in part to scare Taipei and Washington. Nevertheless US analysts and top government officials told the newspaper they believe China is indeed considering a military option, and that China is trying to gauge a possible US reaction. "They walk in with the same message: 'We're going to do something. We can't tell you what, but we're going to do something,'" James Mulvenon, a Chinese army expert at the Rand Corporation think tank, told the newspaper. "The goal for China would be to cause maximum impact in Taiwan, without bringing the United States in," he said. Chinese options -- according to US analysts -- include a blockade of some of the small islands controlled by Taipei; capturing Taiwanese supply ships; a limited air clash; or an incursion by Chinese vessels into Taiwanese waters. However the US-China observers do not foresee any rash actions before October, after several events that include a meeting between President Bill Clinton and Chinese President Jiang Zemin in New Zealand in mid-September. The New York Times reported Friday that Chinese government officials have warned top US government officials that they may be compelled to take military action to "punish" Taiwan for their moves towards independence. Washington has told Beijing that action against Taiwan would result in a US retaliation. The threats however were not coming from top Chinese officials, the Times reports. In 1996 President Bill Clinton mobilized two US aircraft carriers into the Taiwan strait when China fired a missile towards the island. Now Chinese officials seem to be divided on what to do next, unnamed US officials told the Times. "The (Chinese) hardliners want to be tough, others are saying let's wait," an administration official told the Times. Beijing, which considers Taiwan a renegade province, refuses to renounce the use of force if it formally declares independence. Red China is not only a market, IMO, but a dictatorship. I don't trust in them. Just My opinion, of course. Regards and best wishes to All - Lancer