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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sir Francis Drake who wrote (28170)8/13/1999 3:53:00 PM
From: johnd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
SFD,T2K,Larry,Brian,Sonki,PW,Teflon,Ed,RTev,and others:

I was on vacation for a few days. Before the vacation, I
had placed limit order to buyback at 82 and all of it got
filled. I see that MSFT hit a low of 81.75 or so.

Now I am 100% back in terms of MSFT holding. I feel good
about this buy point from a one - two year return point
of view.

Short term, I feel there is still risk of seeing MSFT in the
high 70s. The DOW and NASDAQ is still way too high and close
to their peaks.

MSFT is down about 15 - 18% from its peak of 100, while
DOW and NASDAQ are only down 5% - 10%. There is high risk
of seeing a 15 - 20% decline on DOW and NASDAQ and that
decline pulling MSFT lower.

My gut says we will could see some severe correction and
MSFT potentially in 70s sometime in Sept - October or
sometime in December.

I am not going to hold any LONG position for 99 liquidation.
All my LONGs are with time horizon beyond Jan 00.