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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ynot who wrote (22793)8/15/1999 8:17:00 PM
From: Clint E.  Read Replies (7) | Respond to of 69800
 
A long post.

One statement of value was:

""""I will as always watch the market's reaction to critical levels and then base my longer term view based on those reactions.""""

which brings me to your question of:

"""i also don't know how to even guess whether CPI has already been 'priced in'""""

That's how; when the market reaches a state of equilibrium and moves in the opposite direction of any additional negative news.

I don't expect to see further rally on Monday. I expect to see softness. We could open up, head down later on, and then move back up.

Friday's rally doesn't prove anything new. There were a lot of "misses" in my book.

I think the best thing to do is stay away until Tues, morning. Perhaps the way I would play Tues. is:

Neutral CPI ===> short the gap up.
-ve CPI ===> short the gap down.
+ve CPI ===> Needs to be looked at,