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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Madarasz who wrote (23163)8/16/1999 9:46:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 99985
 
John, this is certainly possible - note that the Japanese market also went through a static period in '88 before the final blow-off in '89.
otoh, it is somehow hard to believe that this market will be in stasis going forward - pure gut feeling of course, no precedent to the current mania exists, strictly speaking. only parallels to previous investment manias can be discerned, but there are no exact replicas as economic development is in constant flux. the only common denominator is mass psychology.

regards,

hb



To: John Madarasz who wrote (23163)8/16/1999 10:44:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
John; I hate to say it but they bake the numbers to fit the
curve they intend to prove. It's such a sham I'm bewildered
how they continue to suck people into believing it.

If the market goes into some sort of "stasis" it will sink
there is just to much of it owned via futures and derivatives
all of which have a premium attached to them.
The interest on the leverage would eat it alive, for the
most part it lives on the lurching up and down.
That's were the investment/bankers/brokers/dealers make
their money.."stasis" would eat them alive.
-----------------------
If new money don't continue to flow in the market sinks
of it's own weight as it's got a lot more overhead than they talk about. It's the biggest and best and longest lasting
Ponzi scam there ever was , and it's surprised even the
pimps that put it together; so much so that they are now
convinced it won't ever end and they may be right but I
doubt it.
Jim