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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rudedog who wrote (139436)8/17/1999 2:54:00 PM
From: Shadow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176388
 
Parts shortages may cause earnings problem

(REUTERS) Notebook shortage may sap PC maker profits-analyst
Notebook shortage may sap PC maker profits-analyst

By Eric Auchard
NEW YORK, Aug 16 (Reuters) - Financial results for notebook
computer makers could suffer because of an industry-wide
shortage of key components used to make display screens, an
analyst with brokerage ABN AMRO warned on Monday.
ABN AMRO analyst Jonathan Ross said International Business
Machines Corp. <IBM.N> appeared to be affected by a shortage of
liquid crystal display (LCD) chips and thus can only meet 70
percent of its notebook output goal for August.
The analyst said he was hearing of the shortfall from
unnamed "reliable sources." He said other major notebook PC
makers that depend on Hitachi Ltd. <6501.T> for such LCD driver
chips "may be experiencing similar problems."
He also estimated that notebook computers represent roughly
23 percent of Dell Computer Corp.'s <DELL.O> sales turnover, 10
to 15 percent for Compaq Computer Corp. <CPQ.N> and around 10
percent for Gateway Inc. <GTW.N>
"Such adverse conditions should have a moderately negative
earnings impact on notebook suppliers like Dell and Compaq,"
Ross said.
Dell spokesman T.R. Reid said he was not aware of the
analyst's comments but noted that the notebook display shortage
was an on-going, industry-wide problem which was not expected
to disappear before the end of 1999. He declined to comment
further ahead of Dell's quarterly report due out Tuesday.
A Compaq spokesman said the company had recently refreshed
its commercial notebook product line with a range of new
products ranging from lightweight ultraportables to heavy-duty
"desktop replacement" notebooks. "We don't know at this time of
any significant supply issues," the Compaq spokesman said.
IBM spokesman Mike Corrado said he was not aware of any
shortage and that IBM had multiple suppliers of LCD screens to
alleviate any possible shortage from a single supplier.
Analysts believe IBM notebooks, including its ThinkPad
line, contribute a disproportionate percentage of the profits
for IBM's overall PC business, which is struggling to return to
profitability.
Hitachi sells its chips to two Taiwanese companies, Quanta
Computer Inc. <2382.TW> and Inventec Corp. <2356.TW>, Ross
said.
Quanta supplies notebook screens to Dell and Gateway, as
well as Siemens AG <SIEG.F>, Apple Computer Inc. <AAPL.O>,
while Inventec <2356.TW> is a supplier of screens to Compaq.
A Hitachi America spokesman said he could not immediately
comment and referred calls to a spokesman for Hitachi
Semicondutor (USA). He was not available to comment.
"The evidence suggests that while IBM may be bearing the
brunt of the shortages, it is an industry-wide problem," Ross
wrote in a note to his clients on Monday.
"While tightness is a good thing, these levels of shortages
are likely to have a small but quantifiable negative impact on
PC companies' earnings, at least in August and possibly into
September," he said.
Despite the analyst's remarks, shares of PC makers mostly
posted gains for the day.
IBM stock rose $3-15/16 to $127-7/16, Gateway climbed
$2-7/8 to $84-5/8 and Compaq rose 9/16 to $23-5/8, all on the
New York Stock Exchange. Apple added 7/16 to end the day at
$60-1/2 in Nasdaq stock market action.
On the Nasdaq, Dell closed at $41-7/16, unchanged on the
day. Dell reports results for its second quarter ended in July
after the close of regular session trading on Tuesday. The Wall
Street consensus is for Dell to earn 17 cents per share,
according to brokers surveyed by First Call/Thomson Financial.
((-- Eric Auchard, New York newsdesk, 212-859-1840))
REUTERS
*** end of story ***



To: rudedog who wrote (139436)8/17/1999 2:57:00 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176388
 
Thread: Is there any significance in the fact that Dan Niles has expected Revenues of 6.1 Billion while the average expected is 5.9. Could he know something this time about actual numbers as many suspected he knew last quarter---OR was that just a lucky guess. I believe he just did great analysis for the last quarter.
I have doubts that Revenue could hit his targets unless there were significant increases in areas other than PCs.
I would appreciate any opinions as i am deciding whether to close out my short position (and even possibly assume a long).
TIA