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To: Clint E. who wrote (22884)8/17/1999 9:33:00 PM
From: Clint E.  Respond to of 69123
 
Tue, 17 Aug 1999, HWP Shares Fall After 3rd-Qtr Profit Misses Some Estimates
By Jeff Bliss

Hewlett-Packard Falls as Profit Misses Some Estimates (Update5)
(Updates with closing stock price.)

Palo Alto, California, Aug. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Hewlett-
Packard Co. shares fell 5.7 percent after the world's No. 2
computer maker's fiscal third-quarter sales and earnings fell
short of some investors' expectations.

H-P dropped 6 1/4 to 104. The company yesterday reported
profit of 81 cents a share after costs from its spinoff of
Agilent Technologies Inc. Unpublished forecasts were as high as
87 cents.

Before today's drop, H-P's shares had risen 61 percent this
year amid optimism that the 61-year-old computer company was
catching up with more nimble rivals in the market for machines
used by Internet service providers and online businesses. The
earnings showed that H-P is reviving after years of slow growth,
though it must do more to satisfy impatient investors.
''The stock is a bit ahead of itself,'' analyst Steve
Milunovich at Merrill Lynch & Co. in New York wrote in a report.
He rates H-P shares ''accumulate.''

Milunovich said H-P's sales of servers, the machines that
control the flow on information on the Internet and other
networks, didn't meet his expectations. He was looking for bigger
gains against rival Sun Microsystems Inc.
''H-P is having difficulty catching up to Sun's Internet
computing lead,'' Milunovich said.

Profit Boost

Moreover, Hewlett-Packard's third-quarter performance wasn't
as good as it initially appeared because the company's profit got
a boost from interest income, analysts said. ''Unusual interest
income added 3 cents a share,'' Milunovich wrote.

Some analysts also are concerned that H-P's fiscal fourth-
quarter earnings may not meet the highest expectations. Forecasts
from First Call Corp. are for $1 a share, while Bill Milton at
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. said the company's comments to
analysts indicated profit would range from 90 cents to $1.03.
''The guidance (from H-P) is modestly below Street
expectations,'' said Milton, who rates H-P ''neutral.''

H-P's ability to boost profit also could be hampered by its
need to hire people for accounting and other corporate
responsibilities when separating the Agilent business.

With the spinoff, ''All I see are higher costs and
expenses,'' analyst Milton said. The new hires may lead to
recurring expenses of as much as 3 cents a share, he said.

Spinoff

H-P yesterday filed to sell stock in the medical equipment
and electronic measurement business in what's expected to be one
of the biggest U.S. initial public offerings.

The sale is part of H-P's plan to sharpen its focus on
computers and printers, where growth has been slowing. Agilent
will sell everything from ultrasound imaging equipment to
semiconductor-testing devices, making it one of the biggest
companies in the test and measurement industry.

Costs of the split, however, already are reducing earnings.
Without costs associated with the planned spinoff, H-P would have
earned 85 cents a share for the third quarter.

Net income rose to $853 million for the quarter ended July
31, from $621 million, or 58 cents, a year ago. Sales rose 11
percent to $12.2 billion from $10.98 billion.

Bright Spots

Still, results at Palo Alto, California-based H-P marked a
turnaround from the year-earlier period, when recessions in Asia
and slowing sales growth sapped profit. At that time, H-P had
disappointed investors for nine of the previous 10 quarters.

The most recent period ''was another quarter of consistent
results,'' said Art Russell, an Edward Jones analyst, who rates
H-P shares ''buy.'' That's an achievement because in the past
''they've been pretty unpredictable,'' he said.

Among the bright spots, Asian sales rose 24 percent to $1.7
billion. The PC business also improved, with sales rising more
than 20 percent, as the company sold its machines without
slashing prices the way manufacturers did a year ago.

H-P said it expects overall fiscal fourth-quarter sales to
rise 10 percent to 13 percent from a year ago.

H-P is the latest technology company to see its shares fall
after a generally positive earnings report.

Shares of No. 1 computer maker International Business
Machines Corp. fell 4.6 percent the day after the company said
second-quarter profit from operations rose to $1.69 billion, or
91 cents a share. The profit missed the highest forecasts
published on Internet sites by a penny.

Investors also were wary about IBM's second half, since the
company faces tougher comparisons to the year-earlier periods,
when PC sales began to pick up.