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Biotech / Medical : CLTR COULTER PHARMACEUTICAL -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gordon James who wrote (237)8/18/1999 1:37:00 AM
From: Pseudo Biologist  Respond to of 666
 
Welcome aboard and thanks for a super post.

A few extra factoids:

(1) there is indeed a 45-day deadline to hear from the FDA. Anticipation of this probably accounts for the jump yesterday. Disappointment on the lack of an announcement plus short rumoring would explain the reversal.

(2) as said elsewhere in the article you cite, the 45-day limit is internal to the FDA; Coulter indeed has not heard from the FDA either way yet. There seems to be a harder 60-day deadline (since submission of BLA) when Coulter would be notified that the application has been accepted.

On hot versus cold, I appreciate your explanation. Yet, if you talk to the IDEC fans I do not think they are so convinced that there is such superior efficacy of Bexxar vs. Rituxan seen in these trials One issue often brought up is that of different standards used by the companies to define responses. I personally do not buy the latter, but I wonder if you have run into this or have comments.

It also would be very useful for us to get an update from Coulter on what this hot/cold trial looks like thus far. The last release on this was in late 1997, if I remember correctly, and the results looked very encouraging. Why Coulter started this trial remains a bit of a mystery. It is however a very interesting science question to ask.

Manufacturing of these agents is always an issue. Bexxar would be the first radio-immunotherapeutic up for approval in the US. I imagine there are a number of immunoradioconjugates used in diagnostics, and how those are or were handled may provide a clue here. Either way I think these things would be handled later, and the FDA would concentrate on efficacy issues first. Even "mighty" IDEC had a bit of a scare on manufacturing of Rituxan after the FDA panel meeting and very shortly before final FDA approval. I fail to see how this could be a show stopper at this early stage of the process.

Yes, dramatic situation indeed; let's see what the next two weeks bring, ... and then some.

Welcome again,

PB



To: Gordon James who wrote (237)8/18/1999 6:36:00 AM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 666
 
Welcome aboard!!! Seats are a little wider here, and typically find the rude belching and screaming you're [we all were] used to. Good luck!

DAK



To: Gordon James who wrote (237)9/6/1999 7:10:00 PM
From: Gordon James  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 666
 
Revisiting something in an earlier post, perhaps to invite some discussion and thoughts on a particular point...

I've been critical of the arguments attributed to the CLTR shorts so far, seems they like to throw up more garbage than legitimate concerns. I do have a lingering area of possible concern, though, and if I saw the shorts focusing more on the following sort of concern - "Coulter is not going to get the Bexxar label that they want!", I might have more respect for their arguments.

As I see it, we should forget the scare stories about "it's never going to be approved" and "omigod it's radioactive" and the like - as I mentioned in the post that I'm replying to here, transformed low-grade NHL is a life-threatening unmet medical need for which no effective treatment exists, so I just don't see the FDA holding up approval because the hot-vs-cold trial has apparently not been completed. When we have a patient population like this with very little hope, and an investigational agent which studies have shown to be safe and effective for them, questions like those that a hot-vs-cold study would answer are irrelevant for this case, IMO. Transformed lgNHL is not on the Rituxan label at this point, Bexxar does not have to prove anything vs. a cold antibody here.

However, transformed lgNHL is a small piece of the NHL population - for the larger "relapsed or refractory" populations, a "cold" antibody (Rituxan) is approved for use, and it is here that the results of a hot-vs-cold study might become more interesting (I recall that a number of well-informed posters here have asked questions periodically about the hot-vs-cold study, and I suppose that interest has been largely in relation to the relapsed or refractory populations). So it is here that Bexxar must show some benefit versus the currently approved therapies (even if that benefit is simply something like a differing treatment-resistance profile).

I don't think there's much danger that Bexxar will never show treatment benefit for this population - but perhaps the danger we need to consider and be comfortable with is, "does Coulter have enough data right now to ensure that relapsed/refractory ends up on the label as a result of this filing?" A label restricted to transformed lgNHL would represent a big disappointment IMO, one that the stock might take quite awhile to recover from (I think Bexxar would get enough off-label use in other populations to quickly overcome the labeling, but the stock wouldn't recover until the sales numbers started to bear this out).

Consider the following possible sequence of discussions that might occur for the relapsed/refractory labeling:

- Coulter says, "we have better response rates than Rituxan", but the FDA remains agnostic because of the arguments with IDEC regarding definition of response.

- Coulter says, "we have longer duration of remission" (I think this is the strongest point) but perhaps the FDA thinks the sample size in the pivotal trial wasn't large enough.

- Then perhaps it comes down to hot-vs-cold study results to sway the verdict, and the FDA perhaps says, "not enough data, finish this trial first"...

I don't believe that this is the most likely result of the BLA, but I do think it is perhaps a question worth considering. I would be very interested to hear other thoughts and opinions on this - it seems that of the possible CLTR disappointments we may face in the near term, this one may be one of the most likely.

Gordon