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To: long-gone who wrote (39215)8/18/1999 9:01:00 AM
From: Rarebird  Respond to of 116753
 
Desperation in the air. Will it help past a few days?

US intervention possible if US assets hurt-Merrill
TOKYO, Aug 18 (Reuters) - A U.S.-Japan joint intervention to support the beleaguered dollar is possible when U.S. authorities become concerned about stability of its own asset markets, Merrill Lynch's senior currency strategist Neil MacKinnon said on Wednesday.

MacKinnon said the Bank of Japan's previous intervention, a lone attempt to try to push the dollar higher against the yen, was not successful despite the bank's heavy spending of as much as $30 billion.

''Joint intervention by U.S. and Japanese authorities, I think, would be effective,'' he told Reuters Television.

''But for that to happen, American authorities would have to see clear evidence of continued deterioration in global asset prices. In particular, they have to see evidence that their own stock and bond markets have been severely destabilised by a sharp appreciation of the yen,'' he said.

London-based MacKinnon is in Tokyo as part of an Asia-wide trip.

Given the dollar's fall below the key chart support of 113.70 yen, verbal warning is likely to increase, and the dollar is highly likely to be protected from falling lower than 110 yen, or possibly 108 yen, MacKinnon said.

But without joint dollar buying by U.S. and Japanese authorities, the dollar could plunge to 105 yen, he said.

As for the euro, which has been renewing record lows against the yen this week, there is a downside room to around 117 yen, MacKinnon said.

There is a possibility for the yen to make further gains against the euro after the European unit's recent fall to $1.05 level from $1.07/1.08 level. But the euro has a solid support at $1.0350, giving scope for some outperformance of the yen against the euro to around 117, he said.

Mackinnon said, however, he expected the euro to recover in the near future when European economic data shows improvement. Anticipation of a European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike may also heighten after ECB members are back from summer holidays, he said.