To: LLCF who wrote (57 ) 8/18/1999 10:17:00 AM From: scaram(o)uche Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 673
Low margins and the cost of sales is high. Moreover, the products have limited demand. Somewhere in the old T/FIF thread, I almost upchucked when Robinson said that the company would be profitable in '99. Train wreck in slow motion.........one can clearly see what's happening (dilution) if they just take off the rose-colored glasses. Easy call, overall, in '96. Easy call, regarding profitability in '99, the second after if emerged from Robinson's mouth. To put it bluntly..... if the CEO had been replaced in '96 with any one of ten candidates that I could have suggested, the company would be in much better shape now. Before all of the lurkers pop up, consider this..... how many companies have I criticized that have gone on to thrive? How many companies have I gotten behind that have failed to thrive? (yes, there have been some...... this is biotech, after all..... but look at the frequency of my successes relative to others) This all sounds very egotistical. The intent of the T/FIF threads is to chase away dogma and to teach various methods for investing in biotech. The sector as a whole has a terrible rep, but certain companies go to the sky. It's an issue of picking good business plans and thumbing your nose at "experts" who sell their vested interests. I hope, given that focus and my passion for the sector, that readers can take the ego out of this post and understand that I wish that I had been wrong. If you study carefully, one can put together separate baskets of companies that will outperform and underperform. Simple claim, and the documentation is in the m.i.s and SI archives. Let's hope things can turn around. Ligand used to be one of our flagship companies. I owned it until '96, and I invested in Allergan-LGND Retinoid Therapeutics. Great concept, terrible execution.