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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mike M2 who wrote (66608)8/22/1999 6:05:00 PM
From: valueminded  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
William

<Your reference to Japan implies the presumption that central banks can stop deflation> Actually, I meant the opposite. FEDS are ineffective against deflation imo. This is a key reason why this FED is going to lean heavily towards an inflationary policy. Interestingly, enough, it would appear to me that you can end the credit expansion one of two ways. Either inflationary or deflationary. If you choose the deflationary route, you lose control. ( you have mentioned before that you can lead them to the market but cant make them consume) Inflationary endings on the other hand are exactly the opposite, you dont need to make them consume - they do it all by themselves when they realize a dollar today will be worth less than a dollar tomorrow.

The bank stays with some modicum of control and everyone feels better. (well except the bond holders that is) Yes, it trashes our bond holders, but the bottom line is most people will not care as it will continue to justify the buy and hold strategy on stocks. jmho



To: Mike M2 who wrote (66608)8/23/1999 8:18:00 AM
From: MythMan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
>>At some point the currency and bond markets will impose their discipline on the stock market<<

No way. They've proven they can't.