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Technology Stocks : Wind River going up, up, up! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Erwin Sanders who wrote (6157)8/23/1999 12:12:00 AM
From: Don Lloyd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10309
 
Erwin -

(...Wind must be viewed as a riskier investment than a year or two ago...)

Just the opposite. The expectations are much lower, along with the stock price. Unless software engineers, as such, become unemployable in an economic collapse following Y2K, DOW1000-HALT, martial law, and/or WWIII, WIND will still be a going concern.

Regards, Don



To: Erwin Sanders who wrote (6157)8/23/1999 8:14:00 AM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 10309
 
Erwin,

Regarding upbeat cc calls, I seem to remember more cc that I consider the management as being unprepared. Many questions, especially when it came to specifics, were unanswered either because they do not want to answer or simply do not have the numbers.

This conference call was a big change, for the better.

I am increasingly inclined to think that Wind will be acquired in the near future. Fiddler is a great visionary and visionaries do not make good CEOs usually - and the past has proved it. Abelman made a tremendous impact to Wind's bottom line when he came on board. If there are more production snags and management faux pas, or the markets are not reacting positively to Wind's prodcts, Wind might be tempted to throw in the towel. Lot of companies would be interested - INTC, SUNW, TI, CSCO. Interesting question: which one would want Wind the most (and therefore expect to pay the highest price?)


It's obvious that Intel and Sun might should look closely at buying WIND, but why did you put Cisco and TI on the list? I assume you put Cisco on because of TMS and RouterWare, but would Cisco seriously want to buy WIND just to get those things? How would Tornado/VxWorks jive with Cisco's IOS? Also, why is TI on your top-four list? TI concentrates on DSP's and even owns its own OS for DSPs. Why would TI want WIND?

From an investment standpoint, I do believe that WIND's value to anyone of the above minimized the downside risk. With a market cap of just over 1/2 billion, that is a drop in the bucket these days in the M&A games.

Ramsey



To: Erwin Sanders who wrote (6157)8/23/1999 11:35:00 AM
From: bananawind  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10309
 
Irwin, re Q2 included 2 quarters of I2O revenues (is this 2 quarters of Intel i960 revenues plus 1 quarter of ARM revenue of 2 quarters of both Intel i960 and ARM -anyone?).

I asked this question during the call. Only the Q1 i960 revenue of 363K was accelerated, due to Intel now reporting in a way that allows concurrent royalty recognition. The other I2O components were already being reported on a concurrent (vs. lagged) basis.

Best regards,
Jim