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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ian@SI who wrote (8031)	8/23/1999 4:24:00 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 15132

Ian: Re: "From what I've read here, it doesn't sound as if there's any precise forecast of anything." If you are looking for a DOW 36,000 forecast in five years, Brinker will not make you happy. I guess he does not have a book to sell. And if he did do such a foolish thing, why most of us here would be goodbye - gone. We have covered many of his forecasts on this thread. As a matter of fact, one of his forecasts just came true today. Re: "But as Justa already told me, first do my research before I comment on Brinker." Valid point <g>. Re: "[Sorry Justa, I must be a very slow learner. Am I going to be banned for my foolishness? ;-)]" Nope, just suspended until you have listened to Brinker's program every weekend for at least one year <g>.

To: Ian@SI who wrote (8031)	8/23/1999 6:07:00 PM
From: lifeisgood	Respond to of 15132

From what I've read here, it doesn't sound as if there's any precise forecast of anything. Turns out you know Bob Brinker better than most.

To: Ian@SI who wrote (8031)	8/23/1999 7:37:00 PM
From: mister topes	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 15132

Your post is totally absurd. Brinker has never issued his investment judgements on the internet. He lists them in his Marketimer newsletter where he has recommended a fully invested stock market position since Dow 2365 in October 1990. He has said on Moneytalk the market will see new highs in the Dow, S&P or both this summer. We already have seen the Dow new high tonight. His views are clear as day. When they change he will notify his subscribers as he has always said he would. That is what they pay for.

To: Ian@SI who wrote (8031)	8/23/1999 9:59:00 PM
From: JF Quinnelly	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 15132

The big test for Brinker's model will be to see if he gets his fans out before the next bear market bites them on the rump. Although his asset allocation model should reduce their risk all the same; Brinker teaches them more than simple market timing. So far he has a good record of identifying buy points in an ongoing bull market, but he hasn't had to warn of a bear yet. If he misses, and they ride the bear down, the mockery will be merciless. It doesn't appear to me that Brinker's timing model could predict something like Dow 36,000 5 years out. It's really apples and oranges. Glassman is describing what he thinks is a flaw in the way that we currently value stocks, whereas Brinker is looking at indicators that have been predictive of market trends in the past. By its nature Brinker's model will have a shorter focus. But I don't think Brinker could wring Dow 36,000 out of his model without converting to Glassman's theory that stocks are dramatically undervalued. Let's pump those p/e's!