To: Gottfried who wrote (32280 ) 8/26/1999 12:28:00 AM From: Paul V. Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
Gottfried and threaders, DW's three leading indicators (10week, high/lows and option bull percentage) all have reversed at the close of the day, Tuesday, Aug. 24. This is a short rally indication and as Tom Dorsey would, "We never know when a short time rally will turn into a long time rally." The OTC bull percentage also has reversed up however the BPNYSE has not done so. I sold some more AMAT today and bought some more LU at a lower price than what I sold AMAT. It had just broken a triple top and Tom Dorsey had just recommended it on C-NBC. I still have AMAT on the short term but like the internet play of CSCO and LU. However, I still plan to hold on to AMAT for the time being. The DW Bull Percentages will give you some guidelines as to how the market, leading indicators and sectors are going. Naturally, the above is only my opinions and the data which I have reviewed from the Dorsey Wright site, IBD and SEMI sites. Readers are reminded the old saving, "caveat emptor (buyer/reader beware)." PAUL SCROLL TO THE RIGHT TO SEE ALL THE DATA SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent Percent Percent Percent 7/13/99 7/20/99 7/27/99 8/3/99 8/10/99 8/17/99 8/24/99 10week 56.3 10week 53.57 10week 45.17 10week 36.18 10week 24.16 10week 31.77 10week 33.87 LEADING INDICATOR #1 30week 62.16 30week 61.62 30week 58.75 30week 53 30week 41.97 30week 46.17 30week 46.62 LEADING INDICATOR #4 bpaero 47.9 bpaero 50.7 bpaero 49.3 bpaero 49.3 bpaero 45.2 bpaero 45.2 bpaero 38.4 bpasia 84 bpasia 80 bpasia 74 bpasia 76 bpasia 64 bpasia 62 bpasia 66 bpauto 55 bpauto 59 bpauto 57.6 bpauto 56.6 bpauto 50.5 bpauto 48.5 bpauto 45.4 bpbank 47.5 bpbank 47.8 bpbank 47.4 bpbank 42.9 bpbank 39.8 bpbank 39 bpbank 41.2 bpbiom 56.7 bpbiom 60.9 bpbiom 59.4 bpbiom 64.6 bpbiom 56.8 bpbiom 55.9 bpbiom 61.4 bpbuil 54.9 bpbuil 54.3 bpbuil 52 bpbuil 48 bpbuil 44.5 bpbuil 40.2 bpbuil 37.6 bpbusi 54.7 bpbusi 55.2 bpbusi 50 bpbusi 48.5 bpbusi 41.4 bpbusi 42.2 bpbusi 41.9 bpchem 51.9 bpchem 47.1 bpchem 47.1 bpchem 47.1 bpchem 49 bpchem 47.1 bpchem 49 bpcomp 60.2 bpcomp 64.9 bpcomp 61.1 bpcomp 50 bpcomp 42.5 bpcomp 45.7 bpcomp 45.7 bpdrug 62.5 bpdrug 62.5 bpdrug 61.1 bpdrug 49.6 bpdrug 46 bpdrug 49.2 bpdrug 54 bpelec 63.1 bpelec 63.5 bpelec 59.5 bpelec 58.2 bpelec 50.2 bpelec 53.8 bpelec 54.5 bpeuro 60.7 bpeuro 57.1 bpeuro 53.6 bpeuro 57.1 bpeuro 50 bpeuro 53.6 bpeuro 53.6 bpeuti 47.06 bpeuti 47 bpeuti 50.6 bpeuti 50.6 bpeuti 50.6 bpeuti 49.4 bpeuti 50.6 bpfina 60.5 bpfina 57 bpfina 55.8 bpfina 49.1 bpfina 42.9 bpfina 45 bpfina 46.4 bpfood 53.1 bpfood 54.9 bpfood 50.6 bpfood 45.1 bpfood 40.7 bpfood 39.5 bpfood 38.9 bpfore 64 bpfore 68 bpfore 68 bpfore 64 bpfore 60 bpfore 62 bpfore 60 bpgame 61.4 bpgame 61.4 bpgame 61.4 bpgame 61.4 bpgame 59.1 bpgame 59.1 bpgame 61.4 bpguti 64.7 bpguti 65.7 bpguti 64.2 bpguti 65.2 bpguti 63.6 bpguti 63.6 bpguti 68.2 bpheal 48.7 bpheal 49 bpheal 47.5 bpheal 43 bpheal 37.4 bpheal 39.1 bpheal 38.6 bphous 56 bphous 55.7 bphous 50 bphous 48 bphous 43.2 bphous 43.2 bphous 42.2 bpinet 57.23 bpinet 47.4 bpinet 31.82 bpinet 16.29 bpinet 12.29 bpinet 47.06 bpinet 59.38 bpinsu 53.2 bpinsu 51.6 bpinsu 50 bpinsu 45.5 bpinsu 38.5 bpinsu 35.5 bpinsu 35.1 bplati 61.8 bplati 60 bplati 58.2 bplati 49.1 bplati 48.1 bplati 48.1 bplati 48.1 bpleis 49.3 bpleis 49.3 bpleis 48.5 bpleis 46 bpleis 41 bpleis 38.9 bpleis 39.7 bpmach 51 bpmach 53.8 bpmach 53.8 bpmach 48 bpmach 45.1 bpmach 44.6 bpmach 40.4 bpmedi 69.2 bpmedi 68.3 bpmedi 62.1 bpmedi 55.8 bpmedi 45.6 bpmedi 48 bpmedi 49 bpmeta 62.5 bpmeta 63.3 bpmeta 60.8 bpmeta 63.3 bpmeta 62 bpmeta 67.1 bpmeta 64.6 bpnyse 58.3 bpnyse 57.7 bpnyse 55 bpnyse 51.3 bpnyse 46.1 bpnyse 46.4 bpnyse 46.6 NEW YORK STOCK EXCHG. bpoil 59.5 bpoil 59.2 bpoil 59.2 bpoil 57.8 bpoil 63.7 bpoil 65.2 bpoil 64.1 bpoils 66.3 bpoils 67.4 bpoils 62.1 bpoils 61.7 bpoils 73.1 bpoils 75.8 bpoils 75.8 bpopti 62.5 bpopti 60.68 bpopti 54.43 bpopti 48.33 bpopti 40.63 bpopti 46.35 bpopti 48.64 LEADING INDICATOR #2 bpotc 59.8 bpotc 59.1 bpotc 53 bpotc 48.1 bpotc 40.8 bpotc 46.5 bpotc 48.2 OVER-THE-COUNTER bpprec 22.9 bpprec 19.1 bpprec 21.3 bpprec 21.3 bpprec 23.9 bpprec 27.7 bpprec 27.7 bpprot 47.4 bpprot 47.4 bpprot 48.7 bpprot 51.3 bpprot 51.3 bpprot 51.3 bpprot 48.7 bpreal 50 bpreal 49.5 bpreal 49.7 bpreal 48.4 bpreal 46.4 bpreal 47.4 bpreal 47.1 bprest 47.7 bprest 48.8 bprest 46 bprest 43.7 bprest 40.5 bprest 37.3 bprest 37.8 bpreta 54 bpreta 50.2 bpreta 47.3 bpreta 43.7 bpreta 32.4 bpreta 32.2 bpreta 33.9 bpsavi 46.8 bpsavi 47.7 bpsavi 47.1 bpsavi 47.1 bpsavi 47.1 bpsavi 46.8 bpsavi 46.5 bpsemi 82.3 bpsemi 75 bpsemi 57.3 bpsemi 53.1 bpsemi 50 bpsemi 58.8 bpsemi 55.2 bpsoft 57.2 bpsoft 59.4 bpsoft 48.7 bpsoft 44.2 bpsoft 32.5 bpsoft 39.8 bpsoft 44.2 bpstee 52.9 bpstee 52.9 bpstee 56.9 bpstee 56.9 bpstee 52.9 bpstee 52.9 bpstee 52 bptele 71.6 bptele 70 bptele 63.2 bptele 57 bptele 42.6 bptele 45.5 bptele 45.4 bptext 42 bptext 42.6 bptext 43.8 bptext 42 bptext 38.9 bptext 39.5 bptext 40.7 bptran 61.4 bptran 61.4 bptran 61.4 bptran 58 bptran 55.7 bptran 54 bptran 54 bpwall 60.4 bpwall 54.7 bpwall 50.9 bpwall 43.4 bpwall 41.5 bpwall 43.4 bpwall 41.5 bpwast 56.5 bpwast 59.7 bpwast 58.1 bpwast 54.1 bpwast 54.1 bpwast 47.5 bpwast 45 HiLo 68.2 HiLo 66.85 HiLo 50.6 HiLo 26.27 HiLo 18.53 HiLo 20.7 HiLo 33.01 LEADING INDICATOR #3NUMERICAL ORDER BELOW SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent SECTOR Percent Percent Percent 7/13/99 7/20/99 7/27/99 8/3/99 8/10/99 8/17/99 8/24/99 bpasia 84 bpasia 80 bpasia 74 bpasia 76 bpoils 73.1 bpoils 75.8 bpoils 75.8 bpsemi 82.3 bpsemi 75 bpfore 68 bpguti 65.2 bpasia 64 bpmeta 67.1 bpguti 68.2 bptele 71.6 bptele 70 bpguti 64.2 bpbiom 64.6 bpoil 63.7 bpoil 65.2 bpasia 66 bpmedi 69.2 bpmedi 68.3 bptele 63.2 bpfore 64 bpguti 63.6 bpguti 63.6 bpmeta 64.6 HiLo 68.2 bpfore 68 bpoils 62.1 bpmeta 63.3 bpmeta 62 bpfore 62 bpoil 64.1 bpoils 66.3 bpoils 67.4 bpmedi 62.1 bpoils 61.7 bpfore 60 bpasia 62 bpgame 61.4 bpguti 64.7 HiLo 66.85 bptran 61.4 bpgame 61.4 bpgame 59.1 bpgame 59.1 bpbiom 61.4 bpfore 64 bpguti 65.7 bpgame 61.4 bpelec 58.2 bpbiom 56.8 bpsemi 58.8 bpfore 60 bpelec 63.1 bpcomp 64.9 bpdrug 61.1 bptran 58 bptran 55.7 bpbiom 55.9 bpinet 59.38 bpopti 62.5 bpelec 63.5 bpcomp 61.1 bpoil 57.8 bpwast 54.1 bptran 54 bpsemi 55.2 bpmeta 62.5 bpmeta 63.3 bpmeta 60.8 bpeuro 57.1 bpstee 52.9 bpelec 53.8 bpelec 54.5 bpdrug 62.5 bpdrug 62.5 bpelec 59.5 bptele 57 bpprot 51.3 bpeuro 53.6 bptran 54 30week 62.16 30week 61.62 bpbiom 59.4 bpstee 56.9 bpeuti 50.6 bpstee 52.9 bpdrug 54 bplati 61.8 bptran 61.4 bpoil 59.2 bpauto 56.6 bpauto 50.5 bpprot 51.3 bpeuro 53.6 bptran 61.4 bpgame 61.4 30week 58.75 bpmedi 55.8 bpelec 50.2 bpeuti 49.4 bpstee 52 bpgame 61.4 bpbiom 60.9 bplati 58.2 bpwast 54.1 bpsemi 50 bpdrug 49.2 bpeuti 50.6 bpeuro 60.7 bpopti 60.68 bpwast 58.1 bpsemi 53.1 bpeuro 50 bpauto 48.5 bpmedi 49 bpfina 60.5 bplati 60 bpauto 57.6 30week 53 bpchem 49 bplati 48.1 bpchem 49 bpwall 60.4 bpwast 59.7 bpsemi 57.3 bpprot 51.3 bplati 48.1 bpmedi 48 bpprot 48.7 bpcomp 60.2 bpsoft 59.4 bpstee 56.9 bpnyse 51.3 bpsavi 47.1 bpwast 47.5 bpopti 48.64 LEADING INDICATOR #2 bpotc 59.8 bpoil 59.2 bpfina 55.8 bpeuti 50.6 bpreal 46.4 bpreal 47.4 bpotc 48.2 OVER-THE-COUNTER bpoil 59.5 bpotc 59.1 bpnyse 55 bpcomp 50 bpnyse 46.1 bpchem 47.1 bplati 48.1 bpnyse 58.3 bpauto 59 bpopti 54.43 bpdrug 49.6 bpdrug 46 bpinet 47.06 bpreal 47.1 bpinet 57.23 bpnyse 57.7 bpmach 53.8 bpaero 49.3 bpmedi 45.6 bpsavi 46.8 30week 46.62 LEADING INDICATOR #4 bpsoft 57.2 bpeuro 57.1 bpeuro 53.6 bplati 49.1 bpaero 45.2 bpotc 46.5 bpnyse 46.6 NEW YORK STOCK EXCHG. bpbiom 56.7 bpfina 57 bpotc 53 bpfina 49.1 bpmach 45.1 bpnyse 46.4 bpsavi 46.5 bpwast 56.5 bphous 55.7 bpbuil 52 bpbusi 48.5 bpbuil 44.5 bpopti 46.35 bpfina 46.4 10week 56.3 bpbusi 55.2 bpwall 50.9 bpreal 48.4 bphous 43.2 30week 46.17 bpcomp 45.7 bphous 56 bpfood 54.9 HiLo 50.6 bpopti 48.33 bpfina 42.9 bpcomp 45.7 bptele 45.4 bpauto 55 bpwall 54.7 bpfood 50.6 bpotc 48.1 bptele 42.6 bptele 45.5 bpauto 45.4 bpbuil 54.9 bpbuil 54.3 bpeuti 50.6 bpmach 48 bpcomp 42.5 bpaero 45.2 bpwast 45 bpbusi 54.7 bpmach 53.8 bpinsu 50 bphous 48 30week 41.97 bpfina 45 bpsoft 44.2 bpreta 54 10week 53.57 bphous 50 bpbuil 48 bpwall 41.5 bpmach 44.6 bphous 42.2 bpinsu 53.2 bpstee 52.9 bpbusi 50 bpsavi 47.1 bpbusi 41.4 bpwall 43.4 bpbusi 41.9 bpfood 53.1 bpinsu 51.6 bpreal 49.7 bpchem 47.1 bpleis 41 bphous 43.2 bpwall 41.5 bpstee 52.9 bpaero 50.7 bpaero 49.3 bpleis 46 bpotc 40.8 bpbusi 42.2 bpbank 41.2 bpchem 51.9 bpreta 50.2 bpsoft 48.7 bpinsu 45.5 bpfood 40.7 bpbuil 40.2 bptext 40.7 bpmach 51 bpreal 49.5 bpprot 48.7 bpfood 45.1 bpopti 40.63 bpsoft 39.8 bpmach 40.4 bpreal 50 bpleis 49.3 bpleis 48.5 bpsoft 44.2 bprest 40.5 bptext 39.5 bpleis 39.7 bpleis 49.3 bpheal 49 bpheal 47.5 bpreta 43.7 bpbank 39.8 bpfood 39.5 bpfood 38.9 bpheal 48.7 bprest 48.8 bpbank 47.4 bprest 43.7 bptext 38.9 bpheal 39.1 bpheal 38.6 bpaero 47.9 bpbank 47.8 bpreta 47.3 bpwall 43.4 bpinsu 38.5 bpbank 39 bpaero 38.4 bprest 47.7 bpsavi 47.7 bpsavi 47.1 bpheal 43 bpheal 37.4 bpleis 38.9 bprest 37.8 bpbank 47.5 bpprot 47.4 bpchem 47.1 bpbank 42.9 bpsoft 32.5 bprest 37.3 bpbuil 37.6 bpprot 47.4 bpinet 47.4 bprest 46 bptext 42 bpreta 32.4 bpinsu 35.5 bpinsu 35.1 bpeuti 47.06 bpchem 47.1 10week 45.17 10week 36.18 10week 24.16 bpreta 32.2 bpreta 33.9 bpsavi 46.8 bpeuti 47 bptext 43.8 HiLo 26.27 bpprec 23.9 10week 31.77 10week 33.87 LEADING INDICATOR #1 bptext 42 bptext 42.6 bpinet 31.82 bpprec 21.3 HiLo 18.53 bpprec 27.7 HiLo 33.01 LEADING INDICATOR #3 bpprec 22.9 bpprec 19.1 bpprec 21.3 bpinet 16.29 bpinet 12.29 HiLo 20.7 bpprec 27.7