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Strategies & Market Trends : Floorless Preferred Stock/Debenture -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (892)	8/24/1999 9:09:00 PM
From: mst2000	Respond to of 1438

Zeev - Thank you as always for your thoughtful analysis and advice. I agree that the "time bomb feature" may lend itself to some interesting price activity after February of 2000, which should be looked at carefully at the time, and also that "stellar" success in achieving its business plan may negate the overall time bomb concern in its entirety. I personally doubt we will see 6 again anytime soon (barring a legitimate adverse event which, for the moment, appears highly unlikely) but think you may be right about some ceiling being established barring truly positive volume numbers or additional developments, and will therefore consider very seriously your advice on possibly taking profits on price spikes (but not as to the core position, which is roughly 2/3 - 3/4 of the total position, as to which I am adamant about holding long term). I suspect my target range for any profit-taking would more likely be between $15-20 in the short term, with the intent of getting right back in on any dips back to the low teens or below. I have to say that, as a rule, I have had very bad experiences trying to time my way in and out of stocks. Thanks again for your thoughts and same to you on the "good luck". Mark

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (892)	8/28/1999 1:01:00 PM
From: George Dawson	Respond to of 1438

Zeev et al, Do you or anyone else on this thread know what the baseline "failure rate" for small cap speculative stocks? For example, there is the statistic that "50% of small businesses fail". What would be a similar failure rate for NASDAQ listings or BB listings? I would be interested in references to any study that uses a clear outcome variable (eg. delisting, lower price at the end of a specific period, business failure, etc). Thanks, George D.