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To: Post_Patrol who wrote (49877)8/25/1999 9:26:00 PM
From: BigBull  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
What seems incredible to me is that the thread seems utterly and myopically focused on only one side of the oil cycle equation. The supply side. It seems as though the demand side is utterly ignored - almost as if it does not exist.

Well the facts are, Asia will probably grow at 5 to 6% this year. Come y2k Asia will probably resume it's historic growth rate of 8 - 10% per annum for AT LEAST 2-3 years. Europe will be in full recovery THIS quarter. It will boom in y2k. The US will probably maintain a growth rate of 4% for the near future. Latam should completely emerge from recession in the 1st quarter of next year.

The IEA EIA API OECD DOE and any other dopey alphabet soup oil analyses/reporting agency you care to mention has CONSISTENTLY UNDERESTIMATED demand this year. So let the doomsters and the gloomsters spin their tales of woe. The REALITY not OPINION is that the worlds economies are now in EXPANSIONARY states. I expect demand for oil, ng, and oil based products to SHARPLY increase next year. Bet on it!

The fundamentals are NOT deteriorating as some suggest - they are improving. Has it dawned on anyone that maybe the Germans are releasing oil because they know that if they don't oil will spike past thirty. Remember the Russians have stopped shipments of gasoline for at least two months. IMO most of that gasoline was destined for Europe. This is the Germans STRATEGIC reserve they are selling.

I could go on and on. But its hopeless. Nobody will believe in the Global Boom scenario unless they read it in the paper, and by then it will be toooooooo late. I give up. I'm just going to keep buying and buying and buying on every little selloff.

The Dog said it Best - BOOM 2000!!!!!!!

and

"That ain't Grandma buyin' KEG!"



To: Post_Patrol who wrote (49877)8/26/1999 9:33:00 AM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Post:

I am not trying to spread gloom and doom. Just some short-term caution after a big runup and predictions by some of $25 crude. I am a buyer if OSX dips below 80.