Hutch, David Tice calls the 90% Stock Loan a derivative transaction and calls it a ticking time bomb. You are the only person on this thread able to understand the truth or falsehood of this article, so please do if you have enough time to read 4 screen pages of text.
This proprietary financial instrument is described below.
David Tice, The Prudent Bear Fund, ticed@prodigy.net, August 26, 1999 90% Stock Loan - The Magic of Credit & Financial Engineering
First Security Capital 90% Stock Loan, the proprietary financial instrument that provides liquidity without triggering a taxable event, protection from a market downturn, and unlimited upside potential.
... continuing from their website: "With capital gains in your portfolio or vested options, you would be subject to capital gains taxes should you decide to sell, taxes that would be especially significant if you have shares with a low relative cost basis, or have employee stock options with a low relative exercise price. Loans, however, are not taxable events. So in many cases you could actually net more cash by borrowing 90% of the current value of your stocks with our 90% Stock Loan than if you were to sell. And because you still own your stocks, you retain the ability to realize future growth in the value of your portfolio. The loan is also non-recourse, so you have no personal liability for your loan, and your maximum downside is capped at 10% for your entire loan term. Ultimately the 90% Stock Loan can help you net more cash, get long-term downside protection, and keep your stocks."
"Diversify into real estate or other ventures by leveraging your stock portfolio, without the risk of a margin call if your stock declines in value. You can access standard margin loans when it comes to leveraging your stock portfolio, but these leave you exposed to downside risk if your holdings drop in value. Our 90% Stock Loan is non-callable and it has no margin maintenance requirements, so it enables you to leverage 90% of the value of your stock portfolio without the risk of a cash squeeze from a margin call. And unlike margin loans, with the 90% Stock Loan you are not required to make any interest payments until the end of your loan term. Than means you get 90% of the current value of your stock portfolio in cash and you have long-term downside protection, without negative cash flow. So you can leverage your stock portfolio and diversify into real estate and other ventures without worrying about making monthly payments or meeting margin calls."
"With the 90% Stock Loan you receive 90% of the current value of your portfolio in cash, and still keep your stocks. Even if your stocks go down significantly in value over the course of your loan term, you have no obligation to repay either the original loan or the accrued interest at maturity, yet you continue to realize future growth in the value of your portfolio if it keeps going up."
... this type of loan is very attractive as it provides liquidity without even having to sell a share of stock; no taxable events and no insider sales transactions. Derivative desks have been active players as well, providing "insurance products" that have allowed stock and/or option holders to lock in gains from this amazing bull market. And, importantly, derivative "insurance" has likewise allowed individuals to lock in gains without having to sell.
... our system has developed a dangerous propensity for monetizing asset inflation. Indeed, the more asset prices have risen, the more keenly our financial system has focused its lending to the asset markets. And the greater the focus on asset lending, the greater the inflationary bias and the greater becomes the asset bubble. With rising asset prices, more can be borrowed and spent throughout the economy, which only encourages greater excess and even higher asset prices. Over time, as more and more of the financial system and economy are geared towards asset inflation and wealth-effect-generated consumption, the whole quagmire becomes one big bubble economy.
There are, however, some big problems here. For one, it is built almost completely on ever-greater amounts of debt; it is one massive credit bubble. While the "90% Protection" loan is a great deal for those wishing to convert stocks to cash, the cash comes from additional credit created within the financial system ... Come the inevitable day of declining asset prices, our financial system and economy will be impaired with this mountain of debt backed by insufficient collateral values ... the "90 Protection" loan is really nothing more than a derivative transaction and, in fact, the company is headed by a derivatives specialist.
The reason the borrower maintains full upside exposure to stock gains is that the shares are not sold. Instead, First Security Capital believes it can "hedge" its exposure if stock prices decline and, hence, will be able to repay the company's debt that today provides the cash for stock and option loans. This, like most derivatives that have come to dominate our financial system, works well during bull markets ... these derivatives much a ticking time bomb...
thanks Doug |