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To: Jerry Miller who wrote (75635)8/28/1999 4:01:00 AM
From: John Chen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164687
 
JM,re:"AG threat". It's reality, a hint dropping.

No inflation, eh. No wage increase, eh. Most salary
increased 20-20000% just because of the stock price.
Want to buy asset (house/stock) with no increase?

I know I won't get it. Is this a zero-sum game? If interest
goes up, corporate profit goes down because of borrowing
cost. Where did the 'cost' go to? So the one lending makes
the 'better profit', it's still in the system, isn't it?

Every time a layoff comes, to cut the 'cost'. The stock
goes up. So the 'cost' shift to the 'stock holder' and
the CEOs and with some luck, the comsumers get some
benefit.

Now the Fed has to keep pumping money to keep people happy
because Stock/Assets cannot go down.

This happened in Taiwan a few years back that
people didn't like it when the market crashed and
'PROTESTED' on the street asking the government to HELP
the STOCK PRICE. The government did something but
eventually the market took care of itself, DOWN,still down.
Want to buy a old house with OLD price! You still can
do it in Taiwan.

Of course, US is different. I agree, we are. We have
much better salesmanship, starting at top of the government.

I had a glimpsed on TV when AG walked away from the meeting.
He was not happy.

I think he is not happy because he is losing control and
sees things are starting to lose control. Nobody knows
when is enough (to retire). The 'financial industry' keep
telling you will never have enough to live. The Fed has
to keep 'SOME INFLATION LOW' and keep the 'OTHER INFLATION
HIGH' (assets). Tough job.

AG is a smart man in financial. But he needs to study
philosophy and history more and be happy. Life/human cycle
goes thru UP/DOWN, it will be taken care of NATURALLY.

Enjoy it and be happy while it lasts and you are on the
right curve at the right time/place. One can only
control/delay the eventual outcomes. It(CYCLE) will come.

With 50% asset allocation in stock, I know I am always
1/2 happy and 1/2 unhappy.

Life is tough.

I kept telling my wife to annutize enough and be happy
with it instead of riding the up/down.

I believe when that 'moment comes' (enough is enough),
the market will take a hit. But with the salesman/woman
we have in this country, nobody has enough of anything.
Maybe the bubble will keep growing forever.



To: Jerry Miller who wrote (75635)8/28/1999 10:57:00 PM
From: Victor Lazlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164687
 
Jerry-
A neighbor told me today he thinks that Greenspan doesn't get much criticism, and seems to enjoy a high level of respect. I told my neighbor that nobody understands anything Greenspan says, so they have no reason to criticize him!

In seriousness, there are always potentially troublesome indicators Al can point to to justify a rate hike bias, but I often think he is really just trying to keep large investors and borrowers cautious. If he came out and said that we have a new economy and everything is great, can you imagine the level of stock inflation and speculation that would ensue?

victor