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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: marc ultra who wrote (8225)	8/29/1999 8:09:00 PM
From: Alan Bell	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 15132

Last week's Bull vs Bears had a reading of about 60%. The 4 week average has stayed below 70%. Bob has put a lot of importance on this number and we know that sentiment makes up 25% of the model. (Yes - there are other parts of the sentiment indicator than just bull vs bears.) Do people believe that Bob can call for an inflection point before the 4 week average of the Bulls vs. Bears hits 70%? -- Alan

To: marc ultra who wrote (8225)	8/29/1999 8:18:00 PM
From: Digger Sacket	Respond to of 15132

"OK, time to get serious here. Some things to watch for that would certainly tend to push the model toward the negative side by the September mailing date would be rates hanging around 6% or higher, another rise in the CIBCR, a strong employment report with a higher than expected rise in hourly earnings, possibly a drop in the unemployment rate, a dollar that would weaken some more, stocks continue to bounce around near their highs. We won't get all that but I think those are some things to consider in guessing what the September newsletter may bring. Next Friday should bring a lot of interesting information." My guess is that the Marketimer model will say: continue to stay fully invested, continue to $ cost average, and continue to keep on watching the indicators. The bull - - she is not dead - - not yet. DS <<It's not what they say, but what they do.>>