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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jeff Mizer who wrote (8475)	8/30/1999 4:59:00 PM
From: Lane3	Respond to of 9818

<><><the fragility of the system for just one ? >>> RE fragility I find myself more optimistic about that than I was a month ago. Oddly, it was some of the more pessimistic posters that encouraged me. I have a real respect for the inherent fragility of systems. But I know from experience that, once operational, they can take a hit or two--it takes multiple concurrent mistakes to bring them down. A system may sometimes stay up only on a wing and a prayer, but it's predisposed to stay up unless the errors reach a certain critical mass to topple the system. Along comes Y2K. The thing I found so disconcerting about it was the potential for a bazillion errors to all coincide at a single point in time. What has caused me greater optimism is that so many of the gloomiest articles and so many of the gloomiest posters are lately saying that they don't expect anything horrific on January 1, but rather some weeks or months later when the pipeline problems kick in. To me, this is good news. The more we can spread the hits around over time, the better the chance of them being handled. <><><He is plainly saying that there is NO WAY that they can give a full "official " warning that the "polly's" as you even called yourself would seem to need to be prompted to take it serious.>>> RE "the full official warning" Jeff, their concern is not that the pollys are too thick to respond to any amount of prompting. It's the converse--that people will over-react. Caverly clearly says that their concern is that sudden stockpiling will cause a breakdown in the distribution system. etc. etc. Inaction by pollys is the least of their problems. Karen